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Roma

D L L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

Atalanta

L D L W W
OpWin AI Probabilities
Roma 34% Draw 30% Atalanta 36%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Atalanta
Confidence: 36%
Double Chance
X2
Confidence: 66%
Safe Goals
Under 3.5
Confidence: 79%
BTTS
No
Confidence: 52%
Correct Score
0-1
Confidence: 11%

Roma Season

Rank#6
Points54
Matches Left38

Atalanta Season

Rank#7
Points53
Matches Left38

Roma Last 5

Juventus FC 3 - 3
Genoa CFC 2 - 1
Como 1907 2 - 1
US Lecce 1 - 0
FC Internazionale Milano 5 - 2

Atalanta Last 5

FC Bayern München 1 - 6
FC Internazionale Milano 1 - 1
FC Bayern München 4 - 1
Hellas Verona FC 1 - 0
US Lecce 0 - 3

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Roma
17W - 3D - 11L
Atalanta
14W - 11D - 6L

Roma Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.31
Attacks105
Dangerous42
Avg Shots12.1
🛡️ Defense 0.88

Atalanta Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.38
Attacks110
Dangerous44
Avg Shots12.7
🛡️ Defense 0.88

Match Statistics

49% Possession 51%
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Roma
1.15
Atalanta
1.18

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:09 PM

In the upcoming Serie A clash at the Stadio Olimpico, Roma will host Atalanta in what promises to be a thrilling encounter. According to the Math Model's predictions, Atalanta emerges as the favored winner with a 36% confidence level, highlighting their recent form and tactical superiority over Roma. The model's emphasis on a potential value bet stems from Atalanta's attacking prowess, boasting the ability to convert chances in tight matches. Moreover, the predictions indicate a safety pick of X2, which suggests that a draw or an away win for Atalanta is the most probable outcome. Analyzing this through Poisson distribution helps us understand the probabilities involved in the scores, while variance in past performances further solidifies these odds. Bettors may find the recommended bets compelling; focusing on an Atalanta win, with additional suggestions of under 3.5 total goals and 'BTTS: No', given both teams often adopt conservative approaches in pivotal matches. Ultimately, this Roma vs Atalanta prediction reflects a well-rounded assessment of statistics, allowing for informed betting tips and strategic combo bets that cater to various betting preferences.

📅 18 Apr 2026
📍 Stadio Olimpico

Standings & Context

Currently, Roma sits at position #6 (54 pts). They face Atalanta who occupy the #7 spot (53 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Roma has averaged 1.31 goals at home. Atalanta travels with an away scoring record of 1.38 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.