OpWin.

Home

Lazio

D L W W W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Parma

W D D L L
OpWin AI Probabilities
Lazio 45% Draw 29% Parma 26%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Lazio
Confidence: 45%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 74%
Safe Goals
Under 3.5
Confidence: 79%
BTTS
No
Confidence: 48%
Correct Score
1-0
Confidence: 12%

Lazio Season

Rank#8
Points43
Matches Left8

Parma Season

Rank#12
Points34
Matches Left8

Lazio Last 5

Cagliari Calcio 0 - 0
Torino FC 2 - 0
US Sassuolo Calcio 2 - 1
AC Milan 1 - 0
Bologna FC 1909 0 - 2

Parma Last 5

AC Milan 0 - 1
Cagliari Calcio 1 - 1
ACF Fiorentina 0 - 0
Torino FC 4 - 1
US Cremonese 0 - 2

Head-to-Head

Lazio: 1 Draws: 1 Parma: 1
2025 Parma 0 - 1 Lazio
2025 Lazio 2 - 2 Parma
2024 Parma 3 - 1 Lazio

Form Analysis

Lazio
11W - 10D - 9L
Parma
8W - 10D - 12L

Lazio Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.07
Attacks85
Dangerous34
Avg Shots9.8
🛡️ Defense 0.93

Parma Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
0.73
Attacks58
Dangerous23
Avg Shots6.7
🛡️ Defense 1.27

Match Statistics

53% Possession 47%
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Lazio
1.37
Parma
0.98

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:11 PM

In the highly anticipated match between Lazio and Parma at the iconic Stadio Olimpico, the odds heavily favor the home side, with a mathematical model suggesting a 45% confidence in Lazio emerging as the winner. This prediction likely stems from Lazio's superior home performance and their historical dominance over Parma in previous encounters. The model also indicates a safety pick of 1X, which suggests that betting against a Lazio defeat may offer excellent value, particularly for those looking at 1x2 predictions and combo bets. Given recent statistics, including variance in goal-scoring opportunities, there is a compelling case for betting tips advocating under 3.5 goals, as both teams have shown a tendency to struggle offensively against robust defenses. Furthermore, a 'Both Teams to Score' (BTTS) prediction leans towards 'No', reflecting the mathematical analysis of past results and player performances. Overall, the Lazio vs Parma prediction suggests that cautious bettors will find solid footing in these recommendations, utilizing tools like the poisson distribution for more accurate predictions of scorelines, making this match one to watch closely for enthusiasts and serious analysts alike.

📅 4 Apr 2026
📍 Stadio Olimpico

Standings & Context

Currently, Lazio sits at position #8 (43 pts). They face Parma who occupy the #12 spot (34 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Lazio has averaged 1.07 goals at home. Parma travels with an away scoring record of 0.73 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.