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St. Pauli

W W D L L
VS
AI Predicts: 0-2
Away

Bayern

W W D W W
OpWin AI Probabilities
St. Pauli 10% Draw 18% Bayern 72%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Bayern
Confidence: 72%
Double Chance
X2
Confidence: 90%
Goals
Over 2.5
Confidence: 62%
BTTS
No
Confidence: 51%
Correct Score
0-2
Confidence: 11%

St. Pauli Season

Rank#16
Points24
Matches Left7

Bayern Season

Rank#1
Points70
Matches Left7

St. Pauli Last 5

SV Werder Bremen 2 - 1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 0 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt 0 - 0
Borussia Mönchengladbach 2 - 0
SC Freiburg 1 - 2

Bayern Last 5

Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 - 1
Atalanta BC 1 - 6
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 - 1
Atalanta BC 4 - 1
1. FC Union Berlin 4 - 0

Head-to-Head

St. Pauli: 0 Draws: 0 Bayern: 3
2025 Bayern 3 - 1 St. Pauli
2025 Bayern 3 - 2 St. Pauli
2024 St. Pauli 0 - 1 Bayern

Form Analysis

St. Pauli
6W - 6D - 15L
Bayern
22W - 4D - 1L

St. Pauli Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
0.86
Attacks70
Dangerous28
Avg Shots7.9
🛡️ Defense 1.57

Bayern Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
3.50
Attacks283
Dangerous113
Avg Shots32.2
🛡️ Defense 0.93

Match Statistics

30% Possession 70%
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 10

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Pauli
0.83
Bayern
2.44

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:12 PM

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, St. Pauli is set to host Bayern Munich at their home ground, where fans will eagerly anticipate an intense match. The math model has predicted a Bayern win with a remarkable 72% confidence level, likely due to their dominant performance throughout the league and historical performance against St. Pauli. Bayern's attacking prowess and depth in their squad make them a formidable opponent, reflected in their higher odds for a victory. St. Pauli's defense will be under pressure as they aim to thwart the relentless Bayern offense. For bettors, this match presents value bets in the form of 1x2 predictions favoring Bayern. The safety pick of X2 indicates that even if St. Pauli somehow manages to draw, punters can still secure a return; however, the recommended bets lean heavily towards a Bayern victory. Additionally, the model forecasts over 2.5 goals, emphasizing the expectation of a high-scoring game, while the suggestion for both teams to score (BTTS) being 'No' indicates a belief that Bayern may dominate the scoring. This analysis leverages a poisson distribution to calculate the inconsistencies in both teams' goal-scoring patterns, which can significantly affect the variance in outcomes, providing bettors with insightful betting tips and actionable information for Combo bets.

📅 11 Apr 2026
📍 their home ground

Standings & Context

Currently, St. Pauli sits at position #16 (24 pts). They face Bayern who occupy the #1 spot (70 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, St. Pauli has averaged 0.86 goals at home. Bayern travels with an away scoring record of 3.50 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.