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St. Pauli

D W D L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

RB Leipzig

W L L W L
OpWin AI Probabilities
St. Pauli 23% Draw 25% RB Leipzig 53%
FT (Finished): 1 - 1
Accuracy: 60%
Winner
RB Leipzig
Confidence: 53%
Double Chance
X2
Confidence: 78%
Safe Goals
Over 1.5
Confidence: 79%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 55%
Correct Score
1-2
Confidence: 10%

Match Timeline

49' 🟥 Christoph Baumgartner
64' 🔄 In: Conrad Harder
66' Yan Diomandé (0-1)
67' 🔄 In: Martijn Kaars
76' 🔄 In: Mathias Pereira Lage
76' 🔄 In: Mathias Rasmussen
76' 🔄 In: Jackson Irvine
85' 🔄 In: Tidiam Gomis
85' 🔄 In: Ezechiel Banzuzi
88' 🔄 In: Abdoulie Ceesay
90' Martijn Kaars (1-1)
90' 🔄 In: Benjamin Henrichs

Lineups (3-4-3 vs 4-3-3)

St. Pauli
  • 22 Nikola Vasilj Goalkeeper
  • 15 Tomoya Ando Defence
  • 11 Arkadiusz Pyrka Midfield
  • 16 Joel Fujita Midfield
  • 26 Ricky Jade-Jones Midfield
  • 10 Danel Sinani Right Winger
  • 8 Eric Smith Centre-Back
  • 6 James Sands Defensive Midfield
  • 5 Hauke Finn Wahl Centre-Back
  • 3 Karol Mets Centre-Back
  • 2 Manolis Saliakas Right-Back
RB Leipzig
  • 1 Péter Gulácsi Goalkeeper
  • 7 Antonio Nusa Midfield
  • 40 Romulo Cruz Offence
  • 49 Yan Diomandé Offence
  • 24 Xaver Schlager Central Midfield
  • 17 Ridle Baku Right-Back
  • 22 David Raum Left-Back
  • 14 Christoph Baumgartner Attacking Midfield
  • 13 Nicolas Seiwald Central Midfield
  • 5 El Chadaille Bitshiabu Centre-Back
  • 4 Willi Orban Centre-Back

St. Pauli Season

Rank#17
Points14
Matches Left15

RB Leipzig Season

Rank#4
Points36
Matches Left15

St. Pauli Last 5

1. FC Köln 1 - 1
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 2 - 1
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 - 0
VfL Wolfsburg 2 - 1
Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2

RB Leipzig Last 5

Eintracht Frankfurt 6 - 0
1. FC Union Berlin 3 - 1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 - 3
SC Freiburg 2 - 0
FC Bayern München 1 - 5

Head-to-Head

St. Pauli: 0 Draws: 2 RB Leipzig: 1
2026 St. Pauli 1 - 1 RB Leipzig
2025 RB Leipzig 2 - 0 St. Pauli
2024 St. Pauli 0 - 0 RB Leipzig

Form Analysis

St. Pauli
3W - 5D - 11L
RB Leipzig
11W - 3D - 5L

St. Pauli Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
0.90
Attacks73
Dangerous29
Avg Shots8.3
🛡️ Defense 1.60

RB Leipzig Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.90
Attacks153
Dangerous61
Avg Shots17.5
🛡️ Defense 1.30

Match Statistics

40% Possession 60%
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

St. Pauli
1.10
RB Leipzig
1.80

Live Commentary & Analysis

🏁 FT 04:28 PM

In a thrilling encounter, St. Pauli and RB Leipzig drew 1-1, showcasing intense battles on the pitch. Both teams displayed remarkable skill, with St. Pauli's defense holding strong against Leipzig's relentless attacks, setting the stage for future matches.

⏸️ HT 03:18 PM

Half-time report: St. Pauli and RB Leipzig are locked in a strategic battle at 0-0. Both teams showcased resilience, but the scoring opportunities remain limited. Fans await an explosive second half full of potential.

KICKOFF 02:31 PM

The atmosphere is electric as St. Pauli and RB Leipzig clash in a thrilling encounter. Both teams are eager to claim victory, with end-to-end action expected. Keep an eye on the stars ready to shine this match!

📰 Team News 08:30 AM

Update: St. Pauli will be missing key players due to injuries, including Assan Ouédraogo and Johan Bakayoko, while Leipzig's Castello Lukeba is also sidelined with a knee injury.

📝 Match Preview 08:59 AM

As St. Pauli prepares to host RB Leipzig in what promises to be an electrifying Bundesliga clash, the match model prediction Leans towards a Leipzig victory with a 50% confidence rating. This assessment is driven by Leipzig's strong performance metrics, historical dominance over St. Pauli, and their attacking prowess. Leipzig's offensive capabilities make them a challenging opponent for any team, and their recent form indicates a side that's gaining momentum in the league. St. Pauli will need to leverage their home advantage and possibly adopt a more defensive strategy to withstand Leipzig's numerous goal-scoring opportunities. For bettors, this matchup presents a value bet on Leipzig to win, coupled with a safety pick of X2, which essentially covers a draw as a safer option. Bets on over 2.5 goals and both teams to score (BTTS) are also appealing given the attacking nature of Leipzig and St. Pauli's potential to find the net at home. A predicted scoreline of 1-2 reflects a confidence in Leipzig's ability to edge out their rivals while still acknowledging St. Pauli's fighting spirit. Overall, the St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig prediction offers insightful football analysis and valuable betting tips for those looking to capitalize on the odds available for this match.

📅 Finished
📍 their home ground

Standings & Context

Currently, St. Pauli sits at position #17 (14 pts). They face RB Leipzig who occupy the #4 spot (36 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, St. Pauli has averaged 0.90 goals at home. RB Leipzig travels with an away scoring record of 1.90 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.