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Alavés

D L L D W
VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

Osasuna

W L D L W
OpWin AI Probabilities
Alavés 31% Draw 29% Osasuna 40%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Osasuna
Confidence: 40%
Double Chance
X2
Confidence: 69%
Safe Goals
Under 3.5
Confidence: 78%
BTTS
No
Confidence: 50%
Correct Score
0-1
Confidence: 11%

Alavés Season

Rank#16
Points31
Matches Left9

Osasuna Season

Rank#10
Points37
Matches Left9

Alavés Last 5

Girona FC 2 - 2
Levante UD 2 - 0
Valencia CF 3 - 2
Villarreal CF 1 - 1
RC Celta de Vigo 3 - 4

Osasuna Last 5

Real Madrid CF 2 - 1
Valencia CF 1 - 0
RCD Mallorca 2 - 2
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 1
Girona FC 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

Alavés: 0 Draws: 2 Osasuna: 1
2025 Osasuna 3 - 0 Alavés
2025 Alavés 1 - 1 Osasuna
2024 Osasuna 2 - 2 Alavés

Form Analysis

Alavés
8W - 7D - 14L
Osasuna
10W - 7D - 12L

Alavés Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.00
Attacks80
Dangerous32
Avg Shots9.2
🛡️ Defense 1.40

Osasuna Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.13
Attacks90
Dangerous36
Avg Shots10.4
🛡️ Defense 1.20

Match Statistics

49% Possession 51%
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Alavés
1.12
Osasuna
1.29

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:10 PM

In the upcoming clash between Alavés and Osasuna at the Campo de Fútbol de Mendizorrotza, the stage is set for a tense encounter in the Primera Division. The math model predicts Osasuna will emerge victorious with a confidence level of 40%. This might stem from their solid recent form and head-to-head statistics that favor them, which are essential factors in making accurate 1x2 predictions. Alavés has struggled to find their footing, which is reflected in the odds. For those looking at value bets, the Safety Pick of X2 could provide a safer route for betting tips, as it covers a draw as well. Additionally, the model suggests goals will be under 3.5, which aligns with historical data showing both teams often engage in lower-scoring matches. The poisson distribution helps to evaluate the likelihood of scorelines that might not be too high, reinforcing the expectation for a lack of goal-scoring fireworks in this fixture. Overall, the variance in performance between the two teams makes this an intriguing match, and the Alavés vs Osasuna prediction points towards Osasuna taking the points here, especially with their current trajectory. Combo bets involving Osasuna to win alongside under 3.5 goals could also be appealing to bettors looking for high-value opportunities.

📅 5 Apr 2026
📍 Campo de Fútbol de Mendizorrotza

Standings & Context

Currently, Alavés sits at position #16 (31 pts). They face Osasuna who occupy the #10 spot (37 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Alavés has averaged 1.00 goals at home. Osasuna travels with an away scoring record of 1.13 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.