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Rio Ave

L D L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Arouca

W D D L W
OpWin AI Probabilities
Rio Ave 45% Draw 23% Arouca 32%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Rio Ave
Confidence: 45%
Double Chance
1X
Confidence: 68%
Goals
Over 2.5
Confidence: 67%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 75%
Correct Score
2-1
Confidence: 9%

Rio Ave Season

Rank#12
Points20
Matches Left15

Arouca Season

Rank#15
Points17
Matches Left15

Rio Ave Last 5

Vitória SC 0 - 1
Gil Vicente FC 2 - 2
Sporting Clube de Portugal 4 - 0
Casa Pia AC 3 - 1
Sport Lisboa e Benfica 0 - 2

Arouca Last 5

FC Alverca 1 - 0
CD Santa Clara 0 - 0
Gil Vicente FC 2 - 2
CD Tondela 3 - 1
AVS 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

Rio Ave: 1 Draws: 3 Arouca: 0
2025 Arouca 3 - 3 Rio Ave
2025 Arouca 1 - 1 Rio Ave
2024 Rio Ave 1 - 0 Arouca
2024 Rio Ave 1 - 1 Arouca

Form Analysis

Rio Ave
4W - 8D - 7L
Arouca
4W - 5D - 10L

Rio Ave Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.10
Attacks88
Dangerous35
Avg Shots10.1
🛡️ Defense 1.80

Arouca Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.00
Attacks80
Dangerous32
Avg Shots9.2
🛡️ Defense 2.20

Match Statistics

51% Possession 49%
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Rio Ave
1.91
Arouca
1.59

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Match Preview 07:16 PM

In this highly anticipated clash between Rio Ave and Arouca at the Estádio dos Arcos, the mathematical model has forecasted a 55% likelihood of a victory for the home team, which aligns with several key aspects of football analysis. Historically, Rio Ave has performed well at home, not only in terms of their recent form but also due to strong offensive capabilities that play to their advantage in this fixture. The model suggests a safety pick of 1X, reflecting confidence that Rio Ave will not only win but also maintain at least a draw. Betting tips indicate that the recommended bets should include the winner as Rio Ave, along with over 2.5 goals and a prediction of both teams to score (BTTS). Such recommendations come from a comprehensive look at both teams' attacking and defensive statistics, presenting solid value bets based on recent matches and their goal-scoring trends. Given Arouca's struggles away from home, this could turn into a crucial three points for Rio Ave, potentially ending 2-1, which adds yet another layer of intrigue for punters placing bets on this thrilling Primeira Liga encounter.

📅 31 Jan 2026
📍 Estádio dos Arcos

Standings & Context

Currently, Rio Ave sits at position #12 (20 pts). They face Arouca who occupy the #15 spot (17 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Rio Ave has averaged 1.10 goals at home. Arouca travels with an away scoring record of 1.00 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.