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Excelsior

L L L L D
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

NEC

D L W W D
OpWin AI Probabilities
Excelsior 25% Draw 23% NEC 53%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
NEC
Confidence: 53%
Double Chance
X2
Confidence: 76%
Goals
Over 2.5
Confidence: 67%
BTTS
Yes
Confidence: 64%
Correct Score
1-2
Confidence: 9%

Excelsior Season

Rank#16
Points27
Matches Left10

NEC Season

Rank#3
Points50
Matches Left10

Excelsior Last 5

Fortuna Sittard 2 - 1
Go Ahead Eagles 0 - 1
SC Heerenveen 1 - 2
Feyenoord Rotterdam 2 - 1
Heracles Almelo 1 - 1

NEC Last 5

AFC Ajax 1 - 1
Fortuna Sittard 2 - 3
FC Volendam 3 - 0
PSV 2 - 3
SC Heerenveen 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

Excelsior: 0 Draws: 0 NEC: 2
2025 NEC 5 - 0 Excelsior
2024 Excelsior 0 - 3 NEC

Form Analysis

Excelsior
7W - 6D - 15L
NEC
14W - 8D - 6L

Excelsior Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.07
Attacks85
Dangerous34
Avg Shots9.8
🛡️ Defense 1.71

NEC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
2.50
Attacks203
Dangerous81
Avg Shots23.0
🛡️ Defense 1.71

Match Statistics

36% Possession 64%
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Excelsior
1.38
NEC
2.08

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:12 PM

In the upcoming Eredivisie clash at the Van Donge & De Roo Stadion, Excelsior will host NEC in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. The math model has forecast NEC as the winner with a confidence of 53%, which likely stems from their recent form and statistical analysis such as poisson distribution, suggesting a more favorable outcome based on average goals scored and conceded. This prediction aligns with our betting tips, highlighting NEC as a value bet when considering the current odds. Historical performance also paints NEC as a more consistent side, effectively increasing their variance for a successful result. Thus, the safety pick of X2 becomes essential, which covers both a win and a draw, ensuring bettors can hedge against any surprises. Additionally, the model anticipates over 2.5 goals in the match, reflecting both teams' attacking potential, while both teams to score (BTTS) seems probable too, given their offensive dynamics. Analyzing Excelsior vs NEC prediction factors in several combi bets is advised, as this match showcases opportunities for smart wagering across multiple dimensions.

📅 4 Apr 2026
📍 Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Standings & Context

Currently, Excelsior sits at position #16 (27 pts). They face NEC who occupy the #3 spot (50 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Excelsior has averaged 1.07 goals at home. NEC travels with an away scoring record of 2.50 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.