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Athletic

D L L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

Osasuna

L D L W D
OpWin AI Probabilities
Athletic 31% Draw 29% Osasuna 40%
✨ OpWin Pro Predictions
Winner
Osasuna
Confidence: 40%
Double Chance
X2
Confidence: 69%
Safe Goals
Under 3.5
Confidence: 78%
BTTS
No
Confidence: 50%
Correct Score
0-1
Confidence: 11%

Athletic Season

Rank#12
Points38
Matches Left7

Osasuna Season

Rank#9
Points39
Matches Left7

Athletic Last 5

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 1
FC Barcelona 0 - 1
Girona FC 3 - 0
Real Betis Balompié 2 - 1
Getafe CF 2 - 0

Osasuna Last 5

Valencia CF 1 - 0
RCD Mallorca 2 - 2
Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3 - 1
Girona FC 1 - 0
Deportivo Alavés 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

Athletic: 1 Draws: 3 Osasuna: 0
2026 Osasuna 1 - 1 Athletic
2025 Athletic 0 - 0 Osasuna
2024 Osasuna 1 - 2 Athletic
2024 Athletic 2 - 2 Osasuna

Form Analysis

Athletic
11W - 5D - 15L
Osasuna
10W - 9D - 12L

Athletic Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.00
Attacks80
Dangerous32
Avg Shots9.2
🛡️ Defense 1.38

Osasuna Performance

⚔️ Efficiency
1.19
Attacks95
Dangerous38
Avg Shots10.9
🛡️ Defense 1.19

Match Statistics

48% Possession 52%
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3

* Projected stats.

Expected Goals (xG)

Athletic
1.10
Osasuna
1.29

Live Commentary & Analysis

📝 Pre-match analysis 08:02 PM

In the upcoming match between Athletic Club and Osasuna at the Estadio San Mamés, the sports analytics suggest that Osasuna has a 40% chance of emerging victorious, making them an intriguing choice for the value bet in the Primera Division. One reason the math model may favor Osasuna could be based on recent performance variance and team dynamics, where they have shown consistent improvement and adaptability on the road. Athletic Club, while historically strong at home, may face challenges given Osasuna's resilience and tactical approach in away games. These factors contribute to the 1x2 predictions leaning towards Osasuna, making their odds attractive for a winner bet. Additionally, with a recommended safety pick of X2, bettors looking for Combo bets should consider painting a broader picture of the match outcome. The prediction for under 3.5 goals points to a likely tactical battle rather than an open game, where both teams might adopt a cautious stance. Furthermore, the 'Both Teams To Score' (BTTS) market aligns with this expectation, suggesting that a tight contest could result in no goals from both sides. Overall, the Athletic vs Osasuna prediction underscores the importance of data-driven insights derived from poisson distribution models in shaping comprehensive betting tips, allowing punters to prepare strategically for this exciting fixture.

📅 21 Apr 2026
📍 Estadio San Mamés

Standings & Context

Currently, Athletic sits at position #12 (38 pts). They face Osasuna who occupy the #9 spot (39 pts).

Performance Analysis

Looking at numbers, Athletic has averaged 1.00 goals at home. Osasuna travels with an away scoring record of 1.19 goals.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.