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Abu Qair Semad
L L L L D
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Ghazl El Mehalla
D L L L W
1X2 Ghazl El Mehalla 38%
O/U Under 3.5 80%
DC 1X 66%
BTTS Yes 59%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Abu Qair Semad 35% Draw 27% Ghazl El Mehalla 38%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Abu Qair Semad and Ghazl El Mehalla?

Our prediction for the Abu Qair Semad–Ghazl El Mehalla match is: under 3.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Ghazl El Mehalla to win (38% confidence); Abu Qair Semad to win or draw (66% confidence); both teams to score: yes (59% confidence)

Abu Qair Semad

Across the 4 most recent finished matches with available data, Abu Qair Semad scored an average of 0.50 goals and conceded 1.75 per match.

Ghazl El Mehalla

Across the 4 most recent finished matches with available data, Ghazl El Mehalla scored an average of 0.75 goals and conceded 1.50 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Abu Qair Semad and Ghazl El Mehalla average 1.25 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace is consistent with Under 3.5.

Players to watch

Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Ahmed Dahesh contributed 0 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.80/10 across 4 rated appearances. In a recent recorded appearance, Abdel Fattah Sheta registered 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s).

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The latest recorded formations are Abu Qair Semad in 4-5-1 (Oct 19, 2026) and Ghazl El Mehalla in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 21, 2026). Across 4 recent matches with possession and shot data, Abu Qair Semad averaged 50.5% possession and 10.8 shots per match (3.3 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 4 matches, Ghazl El Mehalla averaged 45.0% possession and 12.3 shots (2.0 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.46 — 1.45 Reliability 80%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

137%Abu Qair Semad
X26%Draw
237%Ghazl El Mehalla
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes59%
No41%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 79%U 21%
O/U 2.5O 55%U 45%
O/U 3.5O 33%U 67%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Abu Qair Semad
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Abu Qair Semad.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Ghazl El Mehalla
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Ghazl El Mehalla.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 42%U 58%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Abu Qair Semad23%
Ghazl El Mehalla23%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Abu Qair Semad17%
Ghazl El Mehalla17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Abu Qair Semad50%
Ghazl El Mehalla50%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Abu Qair Semad
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 19%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 26%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 19%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Ghazl El Mehalla
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 19%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 26%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 19%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.52%
#22-18.39%
#31-28.34%
#41-07.25%
#50-17.20%
Combined Top 543.70%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Abu Qair Semad + BTTS20%
Ghazl El Mehalla + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Abu Qair Semad Season

Rank#19
Points4
Matches Left31

Ghazl El Mehalla Season

Rank#18
Points4
Matches Left31

Abu Qair Semad Last 5

AL Masry 1 - 1
Asyut Petrol 1 - 2
Al Ahly 2 - 0
Zamalek SC 2 - 0
Al Ittihad 0 - 2

Ghazl El Mehalla Last 5

Al Ittihad 2 - 1
Smouha SC 1 - 0
Zamalek SC 0 - 1
National Bank of Egypt 3 - 1
Enppi 0 - 0

Head-to-Head

Abu Qair Semad: 0 Draws: 1 Ghazl El Mehalla: 1
2026 Ghazl El Mehalla 1 - 1 Abu Qair Semad
2023 Ghazl El Mehalla 2 - 0 Abu Qair Semad

Form Analysis

Abu Qair Semad
D L L L L
Ghazl El Mehalla
W L L L D

Abu Qair Semad Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.67
Goals scored2
Goals conceded4
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.33

Ghazl El Mehalla Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.33
Goals scored1
Goals conceded6
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Abu Qair Semad
1.18
Ghazl El Mehalla
1.14

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Abu Qair Semad vs Ghazl El Mehalla is a Football football match on October 31, 2026 at Abou Qir Fertilizers Stadium. Recent form is 0 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses (form: DLLLL) for Abu Qair Semad and 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: WLLLD) for Ghazl El Mehalla. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 31 Oct 2026
📍 Abou Qir Fertilizers Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Abu Qair Semad is currently #19 with 4 points from 7 matches, while Ghazl El Mehalla is #18 with 4 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Abu Qair Semad won 0, 1 were drawn and Ghazl El Mehalla won 1 across the last 2 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Abu Qair Semad at 0.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per home match, versus Ghazl El Mehalla at 0.33 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.18 for Abu Qair Semad and 1.14 for Ghazl El Mehalla.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.