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AC Milan
D W D W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-0
Away

Bologna
D L D W L
1X2 AC Milan 58%
O/U Over 1.5 76%
DC 1X 91%
BTTS Yes 60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
AC Milan 58% Draw 25% Bologna 17%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between AC Milan and Bologna?

Our prediction for the AC Milan–Bologna match is: AC Milan to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

AC Milan to win (58% confidence); over 1.5 goals (76% confidence); both teams to score: yes (60% confidence)

AC Milan

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, AC Milan scored an average of 2.60 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

Bologna

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bologna scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): AC Milan scored 2.60 and conceded 1.00 per match across 5 covered games; Bologna scored 1.20 and conceded 1.60 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Rabiot contributed 3 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.88/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Juan Miranda contributed 0 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.76/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, AC Milan records a mean of 6.85/10 versus 6.51/10 for Bologna.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists Ruben Amorim as coach of AC Milan. The latest recorded formations are AC Milan in 3-4-3 (Oct 18, 2026) and Bologna in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, AC Milan averaged 58.3% possession and 11.0 shots per match (5.7 on target), a a strong average volume of shots on target profile. Across 5 matches, Bologna averaged 44.4% possession and 11.6 shots (3.4 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, AC Milan recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, averaging 3.00 points, 2.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. Away from home, Bologna recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.71 — 1.28 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

147%AC Milan
X25%Draw
228%Bologna
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 57%U 43%
O/U 3.5O 35%U 65%
O/U 4.5O 18%U 82%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

AC Milan
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for AC Milan.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 51%U 49%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Bologna
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 96%

The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Bologna.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 86%

A different goal line with 86% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 72%U 28%
1.5O 36%U 64%
2.5O 14%U 86%
3.5O 4%U 96%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

AC Milan28%
Bologna18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

AC Milan22%
Bologna12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

AC Milan63%
Bologna37%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

AC Milan
-1.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
-1W 25%P 21%L 53%
-0.5W 47%P 0%L 53%
0W 47%P 25%L 28%
+0.5W 72%P 0%L 28%
+1W 72%P 16%L 12%
+1.5W 88%P 0%L 12%
Bologna
-1.5W 12%P 0%L 88%
-1W 12%P 16%L 72%
-0.5W 28%P 0%L 72%
0W 28%P 25%L 47%
+0.5W 53%P 0%L 47%
+1W 53%P 21%L 25%
+1.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.91%
#22-19.39%
#31-07.97%
#42-07.36%
#51-27.01%
Combined Top 543.64%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

AC Milan + BTTS25%
Bologna + BTTS16%
Draw + BTTS20%

AC Milan Season

Rank#4
Points15
Matches Left31

Bologna Season

Rank#15
Points5
Matches Left31

AC Milan Last 5

Atalanta 3 - 2
Red Bull Salzburg 0 - 4
Sassuolo 1 - 1
Lecce 3 - 0
Lazio 2 - 2

Bologna Last 5

Inter 1 - 3
Lecce 1 - 2
Torino 1 - 1
Napoli 1 - 0
Sassuolo 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

AC Milan: 3 Draws: 0 Bologna: 2
2026 Bologna 0 - 3 AC Milan
2025 AC Milan 1 - 0 Bologna
2025 AC Milan 0 - 1 Bologna
2025 AC Milan 3 - 1 Bologna
2025 Bologna 2 - 1 AC Milan

Form Analysis

AC Milan
W D W D D
Bologna
L W D L D

AC Milan Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.67
Goals scored8
Goals conceded2
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.67

Bologna Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.67
Goals scored2
Goals conceded3
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

AC Milan
2.09
Bologna
0.63

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Bologna is a Serie A football match on October 28, 2026 at San Siro. Recent form is 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses (form: WDWDD) for AC Milan and 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LWDLD) for Bologna. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 28 Oct 2026
📍 San Siro

Standings & Context

In the Serie A standings, AC Milan is currently #4 with 15 points from 7 matches, while Bologna is #15 with 5 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: AC Milan won 3, 0 were drawn and Bologna won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows AC Milan at 2.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per home match, versus Bologna at 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.09 for AC Milan and 0.63 for Bologna.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.