OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
1X2 Draw 24%
O/U Over 2.5 59%
DC X2 72%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Al-Gharafa 38% Draw 24% Al-Arabi SC 38%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Al-Gharafa and Al-Arabi SC?

Our prediction for the Al-Gharafa–Al-Arabi SC match is: Al-Arabi SC to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

a draw (24% confidence); over 2.5 goals (59% confidence); both teams to score: yes (63% confidence)

Players to watch

Across 2 recent recorded appearances, Y. Brahimi contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.98/10 across 2 rated appearances. Across 2 recent recorded appearances, Gueye Laye contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.32/10 across 2 rated appearances.

Match context

The current team record identifies Pedro Martins as coach of Al-Gharafa.

This Stars League fixture takes place at Al Gharafa Stadium (Doha).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Al-Gharafa, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.52 — 1.60 Reliability 40%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

136%Al-Gharafa
X25%Draw
239%Al-Arabi SC
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Al-Gharafa
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Al-Gharafa.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Al-Arabi SC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Al-Arabi SC.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Al-Gharafa20%
Al-Arabi SC22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Al-Gharafa15%
Al-Arabi SC17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Al-Gharafa48%
Al-Arabi SC52%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Al-Gharafa
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 25%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Al-Arabi SC
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 25%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.60%
#21-28.58%
#32-18.13%
#42-26.52%
#50-16.40%
Combined Top 541.23%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Al-Gharafa + BTTS21%
Al-Arabi SC + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Al-Gharafa Season

Rank#10
Points9
Matches Left29

Al-Arabi SC Season

Rank#4
Points14
Matches Left29

Al-Gharafa Last 5

Al-Duhail SC 1 - 2
Qatar SC 2 - 0

Al-Arabi SC Last 5

Al Ahli Doha 2 - 2
Al-Rayyan SC 0 - 0

Head-to-Head

Al-Gharafa: 5 Draws: 0 Al-Arabi SC: 0
2026 Al-Arabi SC 1 - 2 Al-Gharafa
2025 Al-Gharafa 2 - 1 Al-Arabi SC
2025 Al-Arabi SC 1 - 3 Al-Gharafa
2024 Al-Gharafa 3 - 1 Al-Arabi SC
2024 Al-Arabi SC 0 - 1 Al-Gharafa

Form Analysis

Al-Gharafa
L W D D L
Al-Arabi SC
D D L W W

Al-Gharafa Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.14
Goals scored8
Goals conceded8
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.14

Al-Arabi SC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.80
Goals scored14
Goals conceded6
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.20

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Gharafa
1.33
Al-Arabi SC
1.76

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Al-Gharafa vs Al-Arabi SC is a Football football match on November 27, 2026 at Thani Bin Jassim Stadium (Al-Gharafah Stadium). Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LWDDL) for Al-Gharafa and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DDLWW) for Al-Arabi SC. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 27 Nov 2026
📍 Thani Bin Jassim Stadium (Al-Gharafah Stadium)

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Al-Gharafa is currently #10 with 9 points from 9 matches, while Al-Arabi SC is #4 with 14 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: Al-Gharafa won 5, 0 were drawn and Al-Arabi SC won 0 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Al-Gharafa at 1.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per home match, versus Al-Arabi SC at 2.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.33 for Al-Gharafa and 1.76 for Al-Arabi SC.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.