OpWin.

Home

Angers

L D W L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Marseille

L L W L W
1X2 Angers 40%
O/U Under 2.5 66%
DC 1X 77%
BTTS Yes 58%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Angers 40% Draw 29% Marseille 31%

Match Momentum

FULL TIME

Estimated attacking momentum from recorded match statistics.

Angers Marseille
0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' 90' FT Angers · 12.0' · 0 Marseille · 12.0' · 1 Angers · 16.0' · 0 Marseille · 16.0' · 1 Angers · 20.0' · 3.25 Marseille · 20.0' · 1 Angers · 24.0' · 0 Marseille · 24.0' · 0 Angers · 28.0' · 0 Marseille · 28.0' · 1 Angers · 32.0' · 1 Marseille · 32.0' · 0 Angers · 36.0' · 0 Marseille · 36.0' · 5.35 Angers · 40.0' · 2 Marseille · 40.0' · 4.35 Angers · 44.0' · 0 Marseille · 44.0' · 4.35 Angers · 45.0' · 0 Marseille · 45.0' · 2.25 Angers · 45.0' · 0 Marseille · 45.0' · 0 Angers · 45.0' · 0 Marseille · 45.0' · 0 Angers · 45.0' · 0 Marseille · 45.0' · 0 Angers · 48.0' · 0 Marseille · 48.0' · 3.1 Angers · 52.0' · 0 Marseille · 52.0' · 0 Angers · 56.0' · 0 Marseille · 56.0' · 0 Angers · 60.0' · 0 Marseille · 60.0' · 1 Angers · 64.0' · 0 Marseille · 64.0' · 4.5 Angers · 68.0' · 1 Marseille · 68.0' · 0 Angers · 72.0' · 1 Marseille · 72.0' · 0 Angers · 76.0' · 3.35 Marseille · 76.0' · 0 Angers · 80.0' · 1 Marseille · 80.0' · 0 Angers · 84.0' · 0 Marseille · 84.0' · 0 Angers · 88.0' · 0 Marseille · 88.0' · 4.5 Angers · 92.0' · 2.25 Marseille · 92.0' · 2 Angers · 96.0' · 2.1 Marseille · 96.0' · 0 Angers · 90.0' · 0 Marseille · 90.0' · 0 Goal · 14' · Lillian Rao-Lisoa Normal GoalG Goal · 37' · Himad Abdelli Normal GoalG Goal · 43' · Nouhoum Kamissoko Normal GoalG Substitution · 57' · Louis Mouton Prosper Peter ↔ Missed penalty · 59' · Amine Gouiri Missed PenaltyPK× Substitution · 60' · Geoffrey Kondogbia Nayef Aguerd ↔ Goal · 60' · Amine Gouiri Normal GoalG Card · 68' · Emmanuel Biumla C Substitution · 72' · Jim Allevinah Harouna Djibirin ↔ Substitution · 72' · Emmanuel Biumla Joseph Kalulu ↔ Card · 74' · Tochukwu Nnadi C Goal · 75' · Amine El Ouazzani PenaltyG Substitution · 80' · Himad Abdelli Keyliane Abdallah ↔ Substitution · 80' · Nouhoum Kamissoko Angel Gomes ↔ Goal · 83' · Amine Harit Normal GoalG Goal · 85' · Igor Paixão Normal GoalG Substitution · 89' · Amine Sbaï Anthony Bermont ↔ Substitution · 89' · Amine El Ouazzani Bané Diatta ↔ Substitution · 90' · Amine Harit Ulisses Garcia ↔ Substitution · 90' · Tochukwu Nnadi Neal Maupay ↔

G Goal · C Card · ↔ Substitution · VAR Review

Last sample: 02:55 PM UTC

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy25%
Premium Expected goals 1.51 — 1.35 Reliability 80%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

140%Angers
X26%Draw
233%Marseille
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes58%
No42%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 79%U 21%
O/U 2.5O 54%U 46%
O/U 3.5O 32%U 68%
O/U 4.5O 16%U 84%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Angers
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Angers.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Marseille
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Marseille.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Angers26%
Marseille22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Angers19%
Marseille16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Angers55%
Marseille45%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Angers
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 20%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 26%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 18%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Marseille
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 18%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 26%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 20%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.53%
#22-18.77%
#31-07.96%
#41-27.89%
#50-17.10%
Combined Top 544.25%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Angers + BTTS21%
Marseille + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

14' ⚽ Lillian Rao-Lisoa
37' ⚽ Himad Abdelli
43' ⚽ Nouhoum Kamissoko
57' 🔄 In: Prosper Peter
59' ⚽ Amine Gouiri
60' ⚽ Amine Gouiri
60' 🔄 In: Nayef Aguerd
68' 🟥 Emmanuel Biumla
72' 🔄 In: Joseph Kalulu
72' 🔄 In: Harouna Djibirin
74' 🟥 Tochukwu Nnadi
75' ⚽ Amine El Ouazzani
80' 🔄 In: Angel Gomes
80' 🔄 In: Keyliane Abdallah
83' ⚽ Amine Harit
85' ⚽ Igor Paixão
89' 🔄 In: Bané Diatta
89' 🔄 In: Anthony Bermont
90' 🔄 In: Neal Maupay
90' 🔄 In: Ulisses Garcia

Lineups

Angers Home
  • Anthony Lopes
  • C. Arcus
  • E. Biumla
  • M. Gernigon
  • L. Rao-Lisoa
  • Y. Belkhdim
  • B. van den Boomen
  • J. Allevinah
  • L. Mouton
  • A. Sbaï
  • A. El Ouazzani
Marseille Away
  • J. de Lange
  • T. Weah
  • C. Egan-Riley
  • G. Kondogbia
  • Emerson
  • Nouhoum Kamissoko
  • T. Nnadi
  • A. Harit
  • H. Abdelli
  • Igor Paixão
  • A. Gouiri

Angers Season

Rank#15
Points7
Matches Left27

Marseille Season

Rank#9
Points9
Matches Left27

Angers Last 5

Marseille 2 - 5
Stade Brestois 29 5 - 1
Estac Troyes 2 - 0
Le Havre 0 - 0
Rennes 1 - 2

Marseille Last 5

Angers 2 - 5
Olympiakos Piraeus 0 - 1
Estac Troyes 0 - 2
Paris Saint Germain 1 - 2
Rennes 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

Angers: 0 Draws: 2 Marseille: 3
2026 Angers 2 - 5 Marseille
2025 Marseille 2 - 2 Angers
2025 Angers 0 - 2 Marseille
2024 Marseille 1 - 1 Angers
2023 Marseille 3 - 1 Angers

Form Analysis

Angers
L L W D L
Marseille
W W L L L

Angers Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.25
Goals scored5
Goals conceded9
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.25

Marseille Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.75
Goals scored7
Goals conceded5
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.25

Match Statistics

11Shots21
3Shots on Target8
2Corners5
42%Possession58%
1Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Angers
1.25
Marseille
0.81

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Angers vs Marseille is a Ligue 1 football match on October 18, 2026 at Stade Raymond Kopa. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LLWDL) for Angers and 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: WWLLL) for Marseille. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Stade Raymond Kopa

Standings & Context

In the Ligue 1 standings, Angers is currently #15 with 7 points from 7 matches, while Marseille is #9 with 9 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Angers won 0, 2 were drawn and Marseille won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Angers at 1.25 goals scored and 2.25 conceded per home match, versus Marseille at 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.25 for Angers and 0.81 for Marseille. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 25% (result: 2 - 5).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.