What is the prediction for the football match between Arezzo and Padova?
Our prediction for the Arezzo–Padova match is: Padova to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Padova to win (54% confidence); under 2.5 goals (68% confidence); both teams to score: yes (56% confidence)
Arezzo
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Arezzo scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.
Padova
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Padova scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Arezzo scored 0.60 and conceded 1.40 per match across 5 covered games; Padova scored 1.40 and conceded 1.00 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 3 recent recorded appearances, L. Chierico contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.84/10 across 3 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, G. Artistico contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.13/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Padova records a mean of 6.83/10 versus 6.34/10 for Arezzo.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current record lists R. Longo as coach of Padova. The latest recorded formations are Arezzo in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026) and Padova in 3-5-2 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Arezzo averaged 45.4% possession and 10.6 shots per match (2.9 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 6 matches, Padova averaged 45.5% possession and 9.8 shots (2.5 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Arezzo recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 0.50 points, 0.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per match. Away from home, Padova recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.33 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.
This Serie B fixture takes place at Citta di Arezzo (Arezzo).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Arezzo: 0.5 points per home match compared with 1.0 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.