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Ascoli

W D D
VS
AI Predicts: 2-0
Away

Empoli

L L D
1X2 Ascoli 48%
O/U Over 2.5 66%
DC 1X 90%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Ascoli 48% Draw 24% Empoli 28%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.84 — 1.37 Reliability 20%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

148%Ascoli
X24%Draw
228%Empoli
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 62%U 38%
O/U 3.5O 40%U 60%
O/U 4.5O 22%U 78%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Ascoli
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Ascoli.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 84%U 16%
1.5O 55%U 45%
2.5O 28%U 72%
3.5O 11%U 89%
Empoli
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Empoli.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 40%U 60%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Ascoli25%
Empoli16%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Ascoli21%
Empoli11%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Ascoli63%
Empoli37%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Ascoli
-1.5W 27%P 0%L 73%
-1W 27%P 21%L 52%
-0.5W 48%P 0%L 52%
0W 48%P 24%L 28%
+0.5W 72%P 0%L 28%
+1W 72%P 15%L 12%
+1.5W 88%P 0%L 12%
Empoli
-1.5W 12%P 0%L 88%
-1W 12%P 15%L 72%
-0.5W 28%P 0%L 72%
0W 28%P 24%L 48%
+0.5W 52%P 0%L 48%
+1W 52%P 21%L 27%
+1.5W 73%P 0%L 27%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.02%
#22-19.34%
#31-26.94%
#42-06.84%
#51-06.83%
Combined Top 540.97%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Ascoli + BTTS27%
Empoli + BTTS17%
Draw + BTTS19%

Match Timeline

14' ⚽ Joseph Ceesay
26' ⚽ Nicholas Rizzo
45' 🔄 In: Filippo Bandinelli
54' 🔄 In: Lapo Deli
62' 🔄 In: Don Bolsius
62' 🔄 In: amine chakir
63' 🔄 In: Giacomo De Pieri
63' 🔄 In: Tommaso Milanese
63' 🔄 In: Steven Shpendi
71' 🔄 In: Federico Gattoni
84' 🔄 In: Matteo Egan
84' 🔄 In: Luca Belardinelli
90' 🟥 Luca Magnino
90' 🟥 Abdoul Guiebre

Lineups

Ascoli Home
  • S. Vitale
  • A. Oliveri
  • M. Curado
  • N. Rizzo
  • A. Guiébré
  • G. Corradini
  • S. Damiani
  • A. Silipo
  • G. Acampora
  • S. D'Uffizi
  • Matteo Brunori
Empoli Away
  • J. Seghetti
  • L. Magnino
  • M. Curto
  • C. Cauz
  • K. Zedadka
  • E. Biondini
  • Gerard Yepes
  • E. Saporiti
  • N. Corrado
  • B. Popov
  • J. Ceesay

Ascoli Season

Rank#6
Points12
Matches Left31

Empoli Season

Rank#14
Points7
Matches Left31

Ascoli Last 5

Empoli 1 - 1
Sudtirol 0 - 0
Avellino 3 - 1

Empoli Last 5

Ascoli 1 - 1
Palermo 2 - 4
Modena 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Ascoli: 2 Draws: 1 Empoli: 2
2021 Ascoli 2 - 0 Empoli
2020 Empoli 1 - 1 Ascoli
2020 Ascoli 1 - 0 Empoli
2019 Empoli 2 - 1 Ascoli
2018 Ascoli 1 - 2 Empoli

Form Analysis

Ascoli
D D W L W
Empoli
D L L L W

Ascoli Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored6
Goals conceded3
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.75

Empoli Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored4
Goals conceded6
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Match Statistics

9Shots16
2Shots on Target2
6Corners8
62%Possession38%
1Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Ascoli
2.62
Empoli
0.85

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Ascoli vs Empoli is a Football football match on October 17, 2026 at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DDWLW) for Ascoli and 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: DLLLW) for Empoli. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Ascoli is currently #6 with 12 points from 7 matches, while Empoli is #14 with 7 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Ascoli won 2, 1 were drawn and Empoli won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Ascoli at 1.50 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per home match, versus Empoli at 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.62 for Ascoli and 0.85 for Empoli. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 1 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.