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Atalanta
L L L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Frosinone
W D W L W
1X2 Atalanta 39%
O/U Over 1.5 75%
DC 1X 67%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Atalanta 39% Draw 24% Frosinone 38%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Frosinone?

Our prediction for the Atalanta–Frosinone match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Atalanta to win (39% confidence); Atalanta to win or draw (67% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)

Atalanta

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Atalanta scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 2.00 per match.

Frosinone

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Frosinone scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Atalanta and Frosinone average 3.40 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, N. Krstović contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.10/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, A. Raimondo contributed 5 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.41/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list I. Juric for Atalanta and M. Alvini for Frosinone. The latest recorded formations are Atalanta in 4-3-3 (Oct 18, 2026) and Frosinone in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 16, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, Atalanta averaged 44.4% possession and 14.4 shots per match (4.6 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 5 matches, Frosinone averaged 44.0% possession and 19.8 shots (6.0 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Atalanta recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses, averaging 2.00 points, 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Frosinone recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.33 points, 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Serie A fixture takes place at New Balance Arena (Bergamo).

Recent results show that Atalanta have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 3 home matches, averaging 2.0 points per home match compared with 0.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.56 — 1.50 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%Atalanta
X25%Draw
236%Frosinone
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 59%U 41%
O/U 3.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Atalanta
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Atalanta.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Frosinone
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Frosinone.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Atalanta22%
Frosinone21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Atalanta17%
Frosinone16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Atalanta52%
Frosinone48%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Atalanta
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 25%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Frosinone
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 25%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.79%
#22-18.54%
#31-28.20%
#41-06.63%
#52-26.42%
Combined Top 541.58%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Atalanta + BTTS22%
Frosinone + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Atalanta Season

Rank#11
Points9
Matches Left31

Frosinone Season

Rank#6
Points13
Matches Left31

Atalanta Last 5

AC Milan 3 - 2
Venezia 3 - 1
Juventus 2 - 0
Cagliari 1 - 2
AS Roma 2 - 1

Frosinone Last 5

Sassuolo 4 - 2
Napoli 3 - 0
Como 2 - 0
Genoa 1 - 1
Venezia 3 - 2

Head-to-Head

Atalanta: 3 Draws: 1 Frosinone: 1
2024 Atalanta 5 - 0 Frosinone
2023 Frosinone 2 - 1 Atalanta
2019 Frosinone 0 - 5 Atalanta
2018 Atalanta 4 - 0 Frosinone
2016 Frosinone 0 - 0 Atalanta

Form Analysis

Atalanta
L L L W L
Frosinone
W D W L W

Atalanta Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.67
Goals scored5
Goals conceded3
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Frosinone Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.33
Goals scored4
Goals conceded4
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.33

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atalanta
1.39
Frosinone
1.26

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Atalanta vs Frosinone is a Serie A football match on October 25, 2026 at Stadio di Bergamo. Recent form is 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses (form: LLLWL) for Atalanta and 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WDWLW) for Frosinone. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 25 Oct 2026
📍 Stadio di Bergamo

Standings & Context

In the Serie A standings, Atalanta is currently #11 with 9 points from 7 matches, while Frosinone is #6 with 13 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Atalanta won 3, 1 were drawn and Frosinone won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Atalanta at 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Frosinone at 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.39 for Atalanta and 1.26 for Frosinone.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.