OpWin.

Menu
Home Results Rankings Our data
Tools
Odds Converter Kelly Calculator
Settings
Language
EN FR ES PT IT AR
Dark Mode
About Us Contact Privacy
Home

Atalanta
L D D L W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Inter
W W L W W
1X2 Inter 39%
O/U Over 2.5 68%
DC X2 74%
BTTS Yes 65%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Atalanta 35% Draw 26% Inter 39%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Atalanta and Inter?

Our prediction for the Atalanta–Inter match is: Inter to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Inter to win (39% confidence); over 2.5 goals (68% confidence); both teams to score: yes (65% confidence)

Atalanta

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Atalanta scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.

Inter

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Inter scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Atalanta scored 1.80 and conceded 2.40 per match across 5 covered games; Inter scored 2.00 and conceded 0.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, N. Krstović contributed 4 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.51/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Thuram contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.39/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Inter records a mean of 6.83/10 versus 6.66/10 for Atalanta.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list I. Juric for Atalanta and C. Chivu for Inter. The latest recorded formations are Atalanta in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and Inter in 3-5-2 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Atalanta averaged 47.7% possession and 15.2 shots per match (5.6 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 13 matches, Inter averaged 57.0% possession and 20.4 shots (7.2 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Atalanta recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.40 points, 1.80 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Inter recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 7 matches, averaging 1.86 points, 1.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Serie A fixture takes place at New Balance Arena (Bergamo).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Atalanta: 1.4 points per home match compared with 0.8 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.56 — 1.68 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

135%Atalanta
X25%Draw
240%Inter
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes65%
No35%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Atalanta
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Atalanta.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Inter
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Inter.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Atalanta19%
Inter21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Atalanta14%
Inter16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Atalanta47%
Inter53%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Atalanta
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 25%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 19%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Inter
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 19%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 25%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.08%
#21-28.60%
#32-17.98%
#42-26.72%
#50-15.93%
Combined Top 540.31%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Atalanta + BTTS21%
Inter + BTTS24%
Draw + BTTS20%

Atalanta Season

Rank#12
Points14
Matches Left27

Inter Season

Rank#2
Points28
Matches Left27

Atalanta Last 5

Monza 0 - 1
Parma 0 - 3
Fiorentina 2 - 2
Frosinone 4 - 4
AC Milan 3 - 2

Inter Last 5

Como 2 - 0
Feyenoord 0 - 3
AC Milan 3 - 1
Venezia 0 - 2
Fiorentina 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Atalanta: 0 Draws: 1 Inter: 4
2026 Inter 1 - 1 Atalanta
2025 Atalanta 0 - 1 Inter
2025 Atalanta 0 - 2 Inter
2025 Inter 2 - 0 Atalanta
2024 Inter 4 - 0 Atalanta

Form Analysis

Atalanta
W L D D L
Inter
W L W W W

Atalanta Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.83
Goals scored11
Goals conceded11
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.83

Inter Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.80
Goals scored9
Goals conceded6
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.20

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atalanta
1.44
Inter
2.11

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Atalanta vs Inter is a Serie A football match on November 22, 2026 at Stadio di Bergamo. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: WLDDL) for Atalanta and 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: WLWWW) for Inter. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 22 Nov 2026
📍 Stadio di Bergamo

Standings & Context

In the Serie A standings, Atalanta is currently #12 with 14 points from 11 matches, while Inter is #2 with 28 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Atalanta won 0, 1 were drawn and Inter won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Atalanta at 1.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per home match, versus Inter at 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.44 for Atalanta and 2.11 for Inter.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.