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Atlas
W D W
VS
AI Predicts: 0-0
Away

Puebla
L D D
1X2 Atlas 46%
O/U Under 2.5 85%
DC 1X 80%
BTTS No 47%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Atlas 46% Draw 27% Puebla 27%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Atlas and Puebla?

Our prediction for the Atlas–Puebla match is: under 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Atlas to win (46% confidence); Atlas to win or draw (80% confidence); both teams to score: no (47% confidence)

Atlas

Across the 3 most recent finished matches with available data, Atlas scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

Puebla

Across the 3 most recent finished matches with available data, Puebla scored an average of 0.33 goals and conceded 0.67 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Atlas and Puebla average 2.33 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace is consistent with Under 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 3 recent recorded appearances, K. Zenón contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.42/10 across 3 rated appearances. Across 2 recent recorded appearances, E. Armenta contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.16/10 across 2 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Atlas records a mean of 6.82/10 versus 6.63/10 for Puebla.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists H. Crespo as coach of Atlas. The latest recorded formations are Atlas in 4-2-2-2 (Oct 17, 2026) and Puebla in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 3 recent matches with possession and shot data, Atlas averaged 55.0% possession and 14.0 shots per match (5.0 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 3 matches, Puebla averaged 46.0% possession and 11.7 shots (3.3 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

This Liga MX fixture takes place at Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Atlas, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.34 — 1.22 Reliability 60%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%Atlas
X28%Draw
233%Puebla
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes53%
No47%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 73%U 27%
O/U 2.5O 47%U 53%
O/U 3.5O 25%U 75%
O/U 4.5O 12%U 88%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Atlas
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Atlas.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 38%U 62%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Puebla
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 96%

The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Puebla.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 88%

A different goal line with 88% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 70%U 30%
1.5O 34%U 66%
2.5O 12%U 88%
3.5O 4%U 96%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Atlas30%
Puebla26%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Atlas21%
Puebla18%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Atlas54%
Puebla46%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Atlas
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 21%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 28%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 19%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Puebla
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 19%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 28%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 21%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-113.71%
#21-09.59%
#30-18.66%
#40-08.55%
#52-18.43%
Combined Top 548.94%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Atlas + BTTS18%
Puebla + BTTS15%
Draw + BTTS20%

Atlas Season

Rank#3
Points21
Matches Left26

Puebla Season

Rank#12
Points16
Matches Left26

Atlas Last 5

Necaxa 0 - 2
Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1
Club Tijuana 2 - 3

Puebla Last 5

Club Tijuana 0 - 0
Leon 1 - 1
Tigres UANL 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

Atlas: 4 Draws: 0 Puebla: 1
2026 Atlas 3 - 4 Puebla
2026 Atlas 1 - 0 Puebla
2025 Puebla 2 - 3 Atlas
2025 Atlas 3 - 2 Puebla
2024 Puebla 1 - 2 Atlas

Form Analysis

Atlas
W D W D L
Puebla
D D L D L

Atlas Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored6
Goals conceded9
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Puebla Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.86
Goals scored6
Goals conceded7
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Atlas
0.82
Puebla
0.49

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Atlas vs Puebla is a Football football match on October 25, 2026 at Estadio Jalisco. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: WDWDL) for Atlas and 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses (form: DDLDL) for Puebla. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 25 Oct 2026
📍 Estadio Jalisco

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Atlas is currently #3 with 21 points from 12 matches, while Puebla is #12 with 16 points from 12. Recent head-to-head history: Atlas won 4, 0 were drawn and Puebla won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Atlas at 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per home match, versus Puebla at 0.86 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.82 for Atlas and 0.49 for Puebla.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.