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Atletico-MG

D W D W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-0
Away

Coritiba

D L L D L
1X2 Atletico-MG 60%
O/U Over 2.5 69%
DC 1X 93%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Atletico-MG 60% Draw 27% Coritiba 14%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.93 — 1.34 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

151%Atletico-MG
X23%Draw
226%Coritiba
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 59%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Atletico-MG
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 87%

The model assigns 87% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Atletico-MG.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 86%

A different goal line with 86% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 86%U 14%
1.5O 57%U 43%
2.5O 30%U 70%
3.5O 13%U 87%
Coritiba
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Coritiba.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Atletico-MG26%
Coritiba14%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Atletico-MG22%
Coritiba10%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Atletico-MG66%
Coritiba34%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Atletico-MG
-1.5W 29%P 0%L 71%
-1W 29%P 21%L 49%
-0.5W 51%P 0%L 49%
0W 51%P 23%L 26%
+0.5W 74%P 0%L 26%
+1W 74%P 15%L 11%
+1.5W 89%P 0%L 11%
Coritiba
-1.5W 11%P 0%L 89%
-1W 11%P 15%L 74%
-0.5W 26%P 0%L 74%
0W 26%P 23%L 51%
+0.5W 49%P 0%L 51%
+1W 49%P 21%L 29%
+1.5W 71%P 0%L 29%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.59%
#22-19.46%
#32-07.04%
#41-06.73%
#51-26.58%
Combined Top 540.40%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Atletico-MG + BTTS29%
Coritiba + BTTS16%
Draw + BTTS19%

Match Timeline

45' 🔄 In: Reinier Jesus Carvalho
60' 🔄 In: Rodrigo Rodrigues
61' 🔄 In: Breno Lopes
62' 🔄 In: Tinga
62' 🔄 In: Kevin Castaño
62' 🔄 In: Tomás Cuello
62' 🔄 In: Renan Lodi
74' 🔄 In: Victor Hugo Gomes Silva
78' ⚽ Igor Gomes
79' 🔄 In: Nicolas Fonseca
79' 🔄 In: Brian Ocampo
90' 🟥 Bruno Melo
90' 🟥 Thiago Santos

Lineups

Atletico-MG Home
  • Gabriel Delfim
  • Natanael
  • Léo Duarte
  • Vitor Hugo
  • K. Pascini
  • T. Pérez
  • Alexsander
  • A. Minda
  • Mamady Cisse
  • Igor Gomes
  • T. Borbas
Coritiba Away
  • Pedro Luccas
  • F. Bustos
  • Tiago Cóser
  • Jacy
  • Bruno Melo
  • Thiago Santos
  • S. Gómez
  • Pedro Rocha
  • Josué
  • J. Lavega
  • Paulo Roberto

Atletico-MG Season

Rank#6
Points50
Matches Left7

Coritiba Season

Rank#12
Points39
Matches Left7

Atletico-MG Last 5

Coritiba 1 - 0
Santos 2 - 1
Atletico Paranaense 2 - 2
RB Bragantino 1 - 0
Chapecoense-sc 1 - 1

Coritiba Last 5

Atletico-MG 1 - 0
Botafogo 1 - 1
Fluminense 4 - 0
Vasco DA Gama 5 - 0
Atletico Paranaense 3 - 3

Head-to-Head

Atletico-MG: 2 Draws: 1 Coritiba: 2
2026 Coritiba 2 - 0 Atletico-MG
2023 Atletico-MG 1 - 2 Coritiba
2023 Coritiba 1 - 2 Atletico-MG
2022 Coritiba 0 - 1 Atletico-MG
2022 Atletico-MG 2 - 2 Coritiba

Form Analysis

Atletico-MG
W W D W D
Coritiba
L D L L D

Atletico-MG Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.69
Goals scored27
Goals conceded17
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.06

Coritiba Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.13
Goals scored18
Goals conceded29
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.81

Match Statistics

22Shots13
10Shots on Target3
10Corners5
58%Possession42%
0Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Atletico-MG
2.91
Coritiba
0.81

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Atletico-MG vs Coritiba is a Brasileirão football match on October 17, 2026 at Arena MRV. Recent form is 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses (form: WWDWD) for Atletico-MG and 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (form: LDLLD) for Coritiba. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Arena MRV

Standings & Context

In the Brasileirão standings, Atletico-MG is currently #6 with 50 points from 31 matches, while Coritiba is #12 with 39 points from 31. Recent head-to-head history: Atletico-MG won 2, 1 were drawn and Coritiba won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Atletico-MG at 1.69 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per home match, versus Coritiba at 1.13 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.91 for Atletico-MG and 0.81 for Coritiba. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 1 - 0).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.