1X2 — Result
145%Atletico Paranaense
X25%Draw
231%Atletico-MG
1X2
Atletico Paranaense
41%
O/U
Over 2.5
61%
DC
1X
85%
BTTS
Yes
63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Atletico Paranaense 41%
Draw 27%
Atletico-MG 32%
BTTS
Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under
O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 61%U 39%
O/U 3.5O 39%U 61%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals
Atletico Paranaense
0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 52%U 48%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Atletico-MG
0.5O 76%U 24%
1.5O 41%U 59%
2.5O 17%U 83%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Clean Sheet
Atletico Paranaense24%
Atletico-MG18%
Win to Nil
Atletico Paranaense19%
Atletico-MG13%
Draw No Bet
Atletico Paranaense59%
Atletico-MG41%
Asian Handicap
Atletico Paranaense
-1.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
-1W 24%P 20%L 55%
-0.5W 45%P 0%L 55%
0W 45%P 25%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 17%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Atletico-MG
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 17%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 25%L 45%
+0.5W 55%P 0%L 45%
+1W 55%P 20%L 24%
+1.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
Dutching — Exact Score
#1 1-111.40%
#2 2-19.11%
#3 1-27.41%
#4 1-06.76%
#5 2-06.44%
Combined Top 541.12%
Winner + BTTS
Atletico Paranaense + BTTS25%
Atletico-MG + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%
Atletico Paranaense Season
Rank#
Points49
Matches Left10
Atletico-MG Season
Rank#
Points40
Matches Left11
Atletico Paranaense Last 5
Bahia
2 - 1
Coritiba
3 - 3
Cruzeiro
3 - 1
Fluminense
3 - 3
Atletico-MG Last 5
Chapecoense-sc
1 - 1
Fluminense
3 - 1
Sao Paulo
2 - 0
Vitoria
2 - 1
Head-to-Head
Atletico Paranaense: 1
Draws: 1
Atletico-MG: 3
2026
Atletico-MG
2 - 1
Atletico Paranaense
2024
Atletico-MG
1 - 0
Atletico Paranaense
2024
Atletico Paranaense
1 - 0
Atletico-MG
2023
Atletico Paranaense
1 - 1
Atletico-MG
2023
Atletico-MG
2 - 1
Atletico Paranaense
Form Analysis
Atletico Paranaense
W
D
L
D
W
Atletico-MG
D
W
L
W
D
Atletico Paranaense Performance
⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.79
Goals scored25
Goals conceded11
Matches14
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.79
Atletico-MG Performance
⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.93
Goals scored13
Goals conceded16
Matches14
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.14
Match Statistics
Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Paranaense
2.21
Atletico-MG
0.98
Live Commentary & Analysis
Match Preview
Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG is a Brasileirão football match on October 8, 2026 at Arena da Baixada. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: WDLDW) for Atletico Paranaense and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DWLWD) for Atletico-MG. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available football prediction data to explain the fixture.
Standings & Context
In the Brasileirão standings, Atletico Paranaense is currently #— with 49 points from 28 matches, while Atletico-MG is #— with 40 points from 27. Recent head-to-head data: Atletico Paranaense won 1, 1 were drawn and Atletico-MG won 3 across the last 5 meetings.
Performance Analysis
The performance profile shows Atletico Paranaense at 1.79 goals scored and 0.79 conceded per home match, versus Atletico-MG at 0.93 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.21 for Atletico Paranaense and 0.98 for Atletico-MG.
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.