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Austin
D D L L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Real Salt Lake
L W L D W
1X2 Real Salt Lake 48%
O/U Over 1.5 80%
DC X2 69%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Austin 29% Draw 23% Real Salt Lake 48%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Austin and Real Salt Lake?

Our prediction for the Austin–Real Salt Lake match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Real Salt Lake to win (48% confidence); Real Salt Lake to win or draw (69% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)

Austin

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Austin scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.

Real Salt Lake

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Real Salt Lake scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Austin and Real Salt Lake average 2.80 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, B. Vázquez contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.36/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Guilavogui contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.39/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Real Salt Lake records a mean of 6.68/10 versus 6.34/10 for Austin.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list D. Arnaud for Austin and M. Petke for Real Salt Lake. The latest recorded formations are Austin in 3-4-3 (Oct 18, 2026) and Real Salt Lake in 5-4-1 (Oct 18, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Austin averaged 49.5% possession and 10.8 shots per match (3.8 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 9 matches, Real Salt Lake averaged 48.2% possession and 13.9 shots (5.6 on target), a a strong average volume of shots on target profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Austin recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, averaging 0.60 points, 1.40 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per match. Away from home, Real Salt Lake recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in 5 matches, averaging 0.60 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at Q2 Stadium (Austin).

Austin's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 2 defeats in 5 home matches, averaging 0.6 points per home match compared with 1.8 away.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.50 — 1.58 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

136%Austin
X25%Draw
239%Real Salt Lake
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 59%U 41%
O/U 3.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Austin
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Austin.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Real Salt Lake
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Real Salt Lake.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Austin21%
Real Salt Lake22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Austin15%
Real Salt Lake17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Austin48%
Real Salt Lake52%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Austin
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 25%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Real Salt Lake
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 25%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.77%
#21-28.56%
#32-18.17%
#40-16.56%
#52-26.44%
Combined Top 541.50%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Austin + BTTS20%
Real Salt Lake + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Austin Season

Rank#14
Points31
Matches Left8

Real Salt Lake Season

Rank#10
Points36
Matches Left8

Austin Last 5

Vancouver Whitecaps 1 - 2
Los Angeles FC 3 - 1
Nashville SC 1 - 4
San Diego 3 - 3
FC Dallas 0 - 0

Real Salt Lake Last 5

Sporting Kansas City 1 - 3
San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 1
Philadelphia Union 2 - 1
New England Revolution 3 - 0
Seattle Sounders 2 - 0

Head-to-Head

Austin: 0 Draws: 2 Real Salt Lake: 3
2026 Real Salt Lake 2 - 1 Austin
2025 Real Salt Lake 3 - 1 Austin
2025 Austin 1 - 1 Real Salt Lake
2024 Austin 2 - 2 Real Salt Lake
2024 Real Salt Lake 5 - 1 Austin

Form Analysis

Austin
L L L D D
Real Salt Lake
W D L W L

Austin Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.40
Goals scored21
Goals conceded21
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.40

Real Salt Lake Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.13
Goals scored17
Goals conceded27
Matches15
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.80

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Austin
1.33
Real Salt Lake
1.62

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Austin vs Real Salt Lake is a Football football match on October 28, 2026 at Q2 Stadium. Recent form is 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (form: LLLDD) for Austin and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: WDLWL) for Real Salt Lake. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 28 Oct 2026
📍 Q2 Stadium

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Austin is currently #14 with 31 points from 30 matches, while Real Salt Lake is #10 with 36 points from 30. Recent head-to-head history: Austin won 0, 2 were drawn and Real Salt Lake won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Austin at 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per home match, versus Real Salt Lake at 1.13 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.33 for Austin and 1.62 for Real Salt Lake.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.