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Bahia

W L L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Flamengo

W W D W W
1X2 Bahia 43%
O/U Over 2.5 58%
DC 1X 67%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Bahia 43% Draw 24% Flamengo 33%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy25%
Premium Expected goals 1.58 — 1.55 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

138%Bahia
X25%Draw
237%Flamengo
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Bahia
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Bahia.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 79%

A different goal line with 79% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Flamengo
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Flamengo.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Bahia21%
Flamengo21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Bahia16%
Flamengo16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Bahia51%
Flamengo49%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Bahia
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 25%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 19%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Flamengo
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 19%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 25%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.54%
#22-18.42%
#31-28.29%
#42-26.54%
#51-06.26%
Combined Top 541.05%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Bahia + BTTS22%
Flamengo + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

3' 🟥 Erick Pulgar
41' 🟥 Cristian Olivera
48' 🟥 Léo Pereira
51' 🟥 Jean Lucas
64' ⚽ Jorginho
65' 🔄 In: Caio Alexandre
65' 🔄 In: Román Gómez
65' 🔄 In: Ademir
68' 🔄 In: Lucas Paquetá
73' ⚽ Gonzalo Plata
75' 🔄 In: Éverton Ribeiro
75' 🔄 In: Mateo Naín Sanabria
75' 🔄 In: Joaquín Freitas
76' 🔄 In: Bruno Henrique
78' ⚽ Lucas Paquetá
83' 🔄 In: Vitão
83' 🔄 In: Nicolas De la Cruz
86' 🟥 Marco Moreno
89' 🟥 Román Gómez

Lineups

Bahia Home
  • Ronaldo
  • C. Olivera
  • Marcos Victor
  • David Duarte
  • Marco Moreno
  • Luciano Juba
  • Jean Lucas
  • N. Acevedo
  • Rodrigo Nestor
  • Erick Pulga
  • A. Véliz
Flamengo Away
  • A. Rossi
  • G. Varela
  • Léo Ortiz
  • Léo Pereira
  • Emerson Royal
  • Jorginho
  • E. Pulgar
  • G. Plata
  • J. Carrascal
  • Samuel Lino
  • Pedro

Bahia Season

Rank#7
Points49
Matches Left7

Flamengo Season

Rank#1
Points67
Matches Left7

Bahia Last 5

Flamengo 0 - 3
Mirassol 1 - 0
Palmeiras 1 - 0
Atletico Paranaense 2 - 1
Remo 2 - 1

Flamengo Last 5

Bahia 0 - 3
Fluminense 1 - 0
Santos 2 - 2
RB Bragantino 2 - 1
Corinthians 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Bahia: 1 Draws: 0 Flamengo: 4
2026 Flamengo 2 - 0 Bahia
2025 Bahia 1 - 0 Flamengo
2025 Flamengo 1 - 0 Bahia
2024 Bahia 0 - 2 Flamengo
2024 Flamengo 1 - 0 Bahia

Form Analysis

Bahia
L W L L W
Flamengo
W W D W W

Bahia Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.44
Goals scored23
Goals conceded17
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.06

Flamengo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored32
Goals conceded15
Matches16
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.94

Match Statistics

9Shots21
3Shots on Target15
4Corners14
36%Possession64%
4Yellow Cards2

Expected Goals (xG)

Bahia
1.59
Flamengo
1.43

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Bahia vs Flamengo is a Brasileirão football match on October 18, 2026 at Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova. Recent form is 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LWLLW) for Bahia and 4 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses (form: WWDWW) for Flamengo. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova

Standings & Context

In the Brasileirão standings, Bahia is currently #7 with 49 points from 31 matches, while Flamengo is #1 with 67 points from 31. Recent head-to-head history: Bahia won 1, 0 were drawn and Flamengo won 4 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Bahia at 1.44 goals scored and 1.06 conceded per home match, versus Flamengo at 2.00 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.59 for Bahia and 1.43 for Flamengo. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 25% (result: 0 - 3).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.