OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
1X2 Borussia Dortmund 46%
O/U Over 2.5 63%
DC X2 78%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Borussia Mönchengladbach 28% Draw 26% Borussia Dortmund 46%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Mönchengladbach and Borussia Dortmund?

Our prediction for the Borussia Mönchengladbach–Borussia Dortmund match is: Borussia Dortmund to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Borussia Dortmund to win (46% confidence); over 2.5 goals (63% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)

Borussia Mönchengladbach

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Borussia Mönchengladbach scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

Borussia Dortmund

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Borussia Dortmund scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Borussia Mönchengladbach scored 1.20 and conceded 1.80 per match across 5 covered games; Borussia Dortmund scored 1.80 and conceded 1.00 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, J. Scally contributed 2 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.87/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Fábio Silva contributed 2 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.37/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Borussia Dortmund records a mean of 6.68/10 versus 6.41/10 for Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list G. Seoane for Borussia Mönchengladbach and N. Kovač for Borussia Dortmund. The latest recorded formations are Borussia Mönchengladbach in 3-4-2-1 (Nov 6, 2026) and Borussia Dortmund in 4-3-3 (Nov 7, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Borussia Mönchengladbach averaged 43.6% possession and 15.4 shots per match (4.9 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 12 matches, Borussia Dortmund averaged 53.3% possession and 15.3 shots (5.6 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Borussia Mönchengladbach recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, averaging 0.25 points, 1.75 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per match. Away from home, Borussia Dortmund recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses in 6 matches, averaging 1.83 points, 1.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This Bundesliga fixture takes place at Borussia-Park.

Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent home record is weaker than its away record: 3 defeats in 4 home matches, averaging 0.3 points per home match compared with 0.6 away.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.50 — 1.67 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

134%Borussia Mönchengladbach
X25%Draw
241%Borussia Dortmund
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 61%U 39%
O/U 3.5O 39%U 61%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Borussia Mönchengladbach
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Borussia Dortmund
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Borussia Dortmund.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Borussia Mönchengladbach19%
Borussia Dortmund22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Borussia Mönchengladbach14%
Borussia Dortmund18%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Borussia Mönchengladbach45%
Borussia Dortmund55%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Borussia Mönchengladbach
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 18%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 25%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Borussia Dortmund
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 25%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 18%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.41%
#21-28.78%
#32-17.86%
#42-26.56%
#50-16.39%
Combined Top 541.00%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Borussia Mönchengladbach + BTTS20%
Borussia Dortmund + BTTS24%
Draw + BTTS20%

Borussia Mönchengladbach Season

Rank#18
Points4
Matches Left25

Borussia Dortmund Season

Rank#2
Points21
Matches Left25

Borussia Mönchengladbach Last 5

Hamburger SV 3 - 1
SC Paderborn 07 0 - 0
VfB Stuttgart 2 - 3
1899 Hoffenheim 1 - 2
1. FC Köln 2 - 1

Borussia Dortmund Last 5

SV Elversberg 2 - 1
Real Betis 2 - 1
Bayern München 2 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 0
Sabah FA 1 - 2

Head-to-Head

Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1 Draws: 1 Borussia Dortmund: 3
2026 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 - 0 Borussia Dortmund
2025 Borussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach
2025 Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2 Borussia Mönchengladbach
2024 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 - 1 Borussia Dortmund
2024 Borussia Monchengladbach 1 - 2 Borussia Dortmund

Form Analysis

Borussia Mönchengladbach
L D W L L
Borussia Dortmund
W D W D D

Borussia Mönchengladbach Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.75
Goals scored7
Goals conceded10
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.50

Borussia Dortmund Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored6
Goals conceded4
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.23
Borussia Dortmund
2.05

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund is a Bundesliga football match on November 21, 2026 at Borussia-Park. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LDWLL) for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses (form: WDWDD) for Borussia Dortmund. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 21 Nov 2026
📍 Borussia-Park

Standings & Context

In the Bundesliga standings, Borussia Mönchengladbach is currently #18 with 4 points from 9 matches, while Borussia Dortmund is #2 with 21 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1, 1 were drawn and Borussia Dortmund won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Borussia Mönchengladbach at 1.75 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per home match, versus Borussia Dortmund at 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.23 for Borussia Mönchengladbach and 2.05 for Borussia Dortmund.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.