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Bournemouth
D L L W W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Leeds
D W D L D
1X2 Bournemouth 53%
O/U Under 3.5 75%
DC 1X 81%
BTTS Yes 61%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Bournemouth 53% Draw 24% Leeds 23%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Leeds?

Our prediction for the Bournemouth–Leeds match is: Bournemouth to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Bournemouth to win (53% confidence); under 3.5 goals (75% confidence); both teams to score: yes (61% confidence)

Bournemouth

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bournemouth scored an average of 1.60 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

Leeds

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Leeds scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Bournemouth scored 1.60 and conceded 1.60 per match across 5 covered games; Leeds scored 1.40 and conceded 1.00 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Evanilson contributed 3 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.69/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. Calvert-Lewin contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.12/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists D. Farke as coach of Leeds. The latest recorded formations are Bournemouth in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 18, 2026) and Leeds in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 18, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Bournemouth averaged 55.2% possession and 18.0 shots per match (5.8 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 5 matches, Leeds averaged 47.6% possession and 12.2 shots (4.6 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

This Premier League fixture takes place at Vitality Stadium (Bournemouth).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Bournemouth, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.65 — 1.36 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

144%Bournemouth
X25%Draw
231%Leeds
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes61%
No39%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 58%U 42%
O/U 3.5O 35%U 65%
O/U 4.5O 18%U 82%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Bournemouth
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Bournemouth.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 8%U 92%
Leeds
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Leeds.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Bournemouth26%
Leeds19%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Bournemouth20%
Leeds14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Bournemouth58%
Leeds42%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Bournemouth
-1.5W 23%P 0%L 77%
-1W 23%P 21%L 56%
-0.5W 44%P 0%L 56%
0W 44%P 25%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 17%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Leeds
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 17%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 25%L 44%
+0.5W 56%P 0%L 44%
+1W 56%P 21%L 23%
+1.5W 77%P 0%L 23%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.92%
#22-19.10%
#31-07.55%
#41-27.51%
#52-06.71%
Combined Top 542.79%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Bournemouth + BTTS23%
Leeds + BTTS17%
Draw + BTTS20%

Bournemouth Season

Rank#15
Points6
Matches Left31

Leeds Season

Rank#7
Points10
Matches Left31

Bournemouth Last 5

Sunderland 2 - 0
Sturm Graz 3 - 0
Chelsea 5 - 1
Liverpool 0 - 1
Brentford 2 - 2

Leeds Last 5

Manchester United 1 - 1
Arsenal 2 - 1
Crystal Palace 0 - 0
Newcastle 4 - 1
Brighton 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Bournemouth: 1 Draws: 2 Leeds: 2
2026 Bournemouth 2 - 2 Leeds
2025 Leeds 2 - 2 Bournemouth
2023 Bournemouth 4 - 1 Leeds
2022 Leeds 4 - 3 Bournemouth
2015 Leeds 1 - 0 Bournemouth

Form Analysis

Bournemouth
W L L D D
Leeds
D L D W D

Bournemouth Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.25
Goals scored5
Goals conceded4
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Leeds Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored3
Goals conceded3
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Bournemouth
1.66
Leeds
0.88

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Bournemouth vs Leeds is a Premier League football match on October 31, 2026 at Dean Court. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: WLLDD) for Bournemouth and 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses (form: DLDWD) for Leeds. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 31 Oct 2026
📍 Dean Court

Standings & Context

In the Premier League standings, Bournemouth is currently #15 with 6 points from 7 matches, while Leeds is #7 with 10 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Bournemouth won 1, 2 were drawn and Leeds won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Bournemouth at 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Leeds at 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.66 for Bournemouth and 0.88 for Leeds.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.