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Bournemouth

L L W W W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Sturm Graz

L W L W W
1X2 Bournemouth 39%
O/U Under 3.5 75%
DC 1X 69%
BTTS Yes 61%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Bournemouth 39% Draw 26% Sturm Graz 36%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy75%
Premium Expected goals 1.54 — 1.47 Reliability 0%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%Bournemouth
X26%Draw
236%Sturm Graz
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes61%
No39%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 58%U 42%
O/U 3.5O 35%U 65%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Bournemouth
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Bournemouth.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Sturm Graz
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sturm Graz.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Bournemouth23%
Sturm Graz21%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Bournemouth17%
Sturm Graz16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Bournemouth52%
Sturm Graz48%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Bournemouth
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 26%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Sturm Graz
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 26%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.09%
#22-18.57%
#31-28.18%
#41-06.91%
#50-16.56%
Combined Top 542.31%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Bournemouth + BTTS21%
Sturm Graz + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

14' 🟥 Francisco Evanilson
41' 🟥 Belmin Beganovic
43' ⚽ Francisco Evanilson
58' 🟥 Bafode Diakite
61' 🔄 In: Oumar Diakité
62' 🔄 In: James Hill
66' 🟥 Julio Soler
69' 🔄 In: Ryan Christie
70' 🔄 In: Justin Kluivert
70' 🔄 In: Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha
75' 🔄 In: Julian Halwachs
75' 🔄 In: Albert Vallci
75' 🔄 In: Axel Kayombo
76' ⚽ Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha
83' 🔄 In: Paul Koller
84' 🔄 In: Amine Adli
85' 🟥 Julian Halwachs
87' 🟥 Albert Vallci
90' ⚽ Álvaro Rodríguez

Lineups

Bournemouth Home
  • Đ. Petrović
  • A. Smith
  • B. Diakité
  • António Silva
  • J. Soler
  • B. Doak
  • L. Cook
  • T. Adams
  • M. Tavernier
  • Evanilson
  • Á. Rodríguez
Sturm Graz Away
  • D. Khudyakov
  • J. Heil
  • A. Malic
  • J. Quarshie
  • P. Petrović
  • L. Balbo
  • V. Matoshi
  • J. Gorenc Stankovič
  • Jacob Peter Hödl
  • S. Seidl
  • B. Beganović

Bournemouth Season

Rank#3
Points9
Matches Left35

Sturm Graz Season

Rank#19
Points4
Matches Left35

Bournemouth Last 5

AC Milan 3 - 0
Sunderland 2 - 0
Sturm Graz 3 - 0
Chelsea 5 - 1
Liverpool 0 - 1

Sturm Graz Last 5

Marseille 1 - 0
Grazer AK 6 - 1
Bournemouth 3 - 0
Austria Vienna 0 - 2
Red Bull Salzburg 3 - 0

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Bournemouth
W W W
Sturm Graz
W L D

Bournemouth Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
3.00
Goals scored6
Goals conceded0
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.00

Sturm Graz Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.00
Goals scored0
Goals conceded3
Matches1
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)3.00

Match Statistics

24Shots6
8Shots on Target1
7Corners3
62%Possession38%
3Yellow Cards3

Expected Goals (xG)

Bournemouth
1.38
Sturm Graz
1.18

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz is a Europa League football match on October 15, 2026 at Dean Court. Recent form is 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: WWW) for Bournemouth and 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WLD) for Sturm Graz. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Dean Court

Standings & Context

In the Europa League standings, Bournemouth is currently #3 with 9 points from 3 matches, while Sturm Graz is #19 with 4 points from 3. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Bournemouth at 3.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded per home match, versus Sturm Graz at 0.00 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.38 for Bournemouth and 1.18 for Sturm Graz. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 75% (result: 3 - 0).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.