What is the prediction for the football match between Brentford and Everton?
Our prediction for the Brentford–Everton match is: Brentford to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Everton to win (39% confidence); under 2.5 goals (67% confidence); both teams to score: yes (58% confidence)
Brentford
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Brentford scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.
Everton
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Everton scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Brentford scored 1.20 and conceded 1.40 per match across 5 covered games; Everton scored 1.20 and conceded 1.40 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Thiago contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.63/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, T. Barry contributed 4 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.52/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Everton records a mean of 6.67/10 versus 6.43/10 for Brentford.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list Keith Andrews for Brentford and D. Moyes for Everton. The latest recorded formations are Brentford in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026) and Everton in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 6, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Brentford averaged 43.1% possession and 10.4 shots per match (2.9 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 8 matches, Everton averaged 48.0% possession and 14.0 shots (4.8 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 4 recent home matches, Brentford recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.75 points, 1.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. Away from home, Everton recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.20 points, 0.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.
This Premier League fixture takes place at Brentford Community Stadium (London).
Recent results show that Brentford have a stronger record at home than away: 2 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 1.8 points per home match compared with 0.8 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.