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Burgos

W W L L W
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Sabadell

W D D W L
1X2 Burgos 41%
O/U Under 3.5 77%
DC 1X 72%
BTTS Yes 60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Burgos 41% Draw 28% Sabadell 31%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy75%
Premium Expected goals 1.51 — 1.42 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%Burgos
X26%Draw
235%Sabadell
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 80%U 20%
O/U 2.5O 56%U 44%
O/U 3.5O 34%U 66%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Burgos
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Burgos.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Sabadell
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sabadell.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 76%U 24%
1.5O 42%U 58%
2.5O 17%U 83%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Burgos24%
Sabadell22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Burgos18%
Sabadell16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Burgos53%
Sabadell47%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Burgos
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 20%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 26%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Sabadell
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 26%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 20%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.31%
#22-18.63%
#31-28.11%
#41-07.33%
#50-16.85%
Combined Top 543.23%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Burgos + BTTS21%
Sabadell + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

4' 🟥 Alejandro Lizancos Saldaña
13' 🟥 Grego Sierra
29' 🟥 Óscar Sanz
32' 🟥 Sergio Francisco Ramos
34' 🔄 In: Curro
45' 🔄 In: Alberto Dadie
62' ⚽
63' ⚽ Curro
64' 🔄 In: Eneko Aguilar
64' 🔄 In: Yanis Rahmani
64' 🔄 In: Gastón Joaquín Valles Velázquez
75' 🔄 In: Álex Forés
76' 🔄 In: Victor Mollejo
78' 🔄 In: Alain Ribeiro
78' 🔄 In: Nikolay Obolskiy
79' 🔄 In: José Gragera

Lineups

Burgos Home
  • Ander Cantero
  • Álex
  • Oier Luengo
  • Grego
  • Brais Martínez
  • Unai Vencedor
  • P. Galdames
  • K. Appin
  • David González
  • Javi Llabrés
  • Jon Karrikaburu
Sabadell Away
  • Diego Fuoli
  • José Luis Català
  • Óscar Sanz
  • Arthur Bonaldo
  • Urri
  • Ton Ripoll
  • Q. Liameed
  • Pere Pons
  • Pipa
  • J. Priego
  • Ángel Baena

Burgos Season

Rank#8
Points17
Matches Left28

Sabadell Season

Rank#10
Points16
Matches Left28

Burgos Last 5

Sabadell 1 - 0
Granada CF 0 - 1
Almeria 2 - 1
Eldense 1 - 0
Las Palmas 1 - 2

Sabadell Last 5

Burgos 1 - 0
AD Ceuta FC 1 - 2
FC Andorra 0 - 0
Celta de Vigo II 1 - 1
Oviedo 3 - 1

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Burgos
W L L W W
Sabadell
L W D D W

Burgos Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.67
Goals scored10
Goals conceded6
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Sabadell Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.50
Goals scored3
Goals conceded5
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.83

Match Statistics

13Shots7
7Shots on Target2
10Corners3
63%Possession37%
2Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Burgos
1.40
Sabadell
1.05

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Burgos vs Sabadell is a Football football match on October 18, 2026 at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío. Recent form is 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WLLWW) for Burgos and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: LWDDW) for Sabadell. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Estadio Municipal de El Plantío

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Burgos is currently #8 with 17 points from 10 matches, while Sabadell is #10 with 16 points from 10. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Burgos at 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus Sabadell at 0.50 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.40 for Burgos and 1.05 for Sabadell. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 75% (result: 1 - 0).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.