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Burnley

L D W D L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Wolves

W L L W D
1X2 Burnley 42%
O/U Under 3.5 78%
DC 1X 66%
BTTS Yes 60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Burnley 42% Draw 26% Wolves 32%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.49 — 1.47 Reliability 80%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

137%Burnley
X26%Draw
237%Wolves
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 80%U 20%
O/U 2.5O 57%U 43%
O/U 3.5O 34%U 66%
O/U 4.5O 18%U 82%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Burnley
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Burnley.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 23%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Wolves
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Wolves.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Burnley23%
Wolves23%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Burnley17%
Wolves17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Burnley51%
Wolves49%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Burnley
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 19%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 26%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 19%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Wolves
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 19%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 26%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 19%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.31%
#22-18.43%
#31-28.32%
#41-07.01%
#50-16.91%
Combined Top 542.98%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Burnley + BTTS20%
Wolves + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

20' ⚽ Jamie Vardy
39' ⚽ Fer López
61' 🔄 In: Mateus Mane
61' 🔄 In: Armando Broja
61' 🔄 In: Dastan Satpaev
63' 🟥 Reo Hatate
70' 🟥 Sean Neave
71' 🔄 In: Thomas Doyle
72' 🔄 In: Tawanda Chirewa
72' ⚽ Tawanda Chirewa
75' 🔄 In: Marcus Edwards
87' 🔄 In: Ladislav Krejčí
87' 🔄 In: Hugo Bueno
87' 🔄 In: Ugo Raghouber
90' 🟥 Kyle Walker

Lineups

Burnley Home
  • G. Coudert
  • K. Walker
  • H. Ekdal
  • Igor
  • Lucas Pires
  • Max Alleyne
  • R. Hatate
  • L. Ramazani
  • J. Laurent
  • J. Bruun Larsen
  • J. Vardy
Wolves Away
  • José Sá
  • J. Tchatchoua
  • N. Djiga
  • Toti Gomes
  • G. Konan
  • M. Munetsi
  • André
  • J. Bellegarde
  • Fer López
  • R. Saïd
  • S. Neave

Burnley Season

Rank#22
Points8
Matches Left27

Wolves Season

Rank#7
Points18
Matches Left27

Burnley Last 5

Wolves 1 - 2
Charlton 2 - 2
Watford 0 - 4
Derby 1 - 1
Swansea 3 - 1

Wolves Last 5

Portsmouth 1 - 1
Burnley 1 - 2
Bolton 1 - 3
Middlesbrough 1 - 0
West Brom 1 - 0

Head-to-Head

Burnley: 1 Draws: 2 Wolves: 2
2026 Burnley 1 - 1 Wolves
2025 Wolves 2 - 3 Burnley
2024 Wolves 2 - 0 Burnley
2024 Burnley 1 - 1 Wolves
2023 Wolves 1 - 0 Burnley

Form Analysis

Burnley
L D W D L
Wolves
D W L L W

Burnley Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.33
Goals scored8
Goals conceded10
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.67

Wolves Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.67
Goals scored10
Goals conceded9
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Match Statistics

15Shots20
4Shots on Target8
3Corners6
47%Possession53%
2Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Burnley
1.21
Wolves
1.19

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Burnley vs Wolves is a Football football match on October 16, 2026 at Turf Moor. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LDWDL) for Burnley and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: DWLLW) for Wolves. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Turf Moor

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Burnley is currently #22 with 8 points from 11 matches, while Wolves is #7 with 18 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Burnley won 1, 2 were drawn and Wolves won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Burnley at 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per home match, versus Wolves at 1.67 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.21 for Burnley and 1.19 for Wolves. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 1 - 2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.