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Cadiz
L D W L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

AD Ceuta FC
D W D L L
1X2 Cadiz 47%
O/U Under 3.5 78%
DC 1X 83%
BTTS Yes 59%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Cadiz 47% Draw 28% AD Ceuta FC 25%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Cadiz and AD Ceuta FC?

Our prediction for the Cadiz–AD Ceuta FC match is: Cadiz to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Cadiz to win (47% confidence); under 3.5 goals (78% confidence); both teams to score: yes (59% confidence)

Cadiz

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Cadiz scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

AD Ceuta FC

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, AD Ceuta FC scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Cadiz scored 1.20 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; AD Ceuta FC scored 1.40 and conceded 1.40 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, V. Kopotun contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.21/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Jordi Escobar contributed 3 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.21/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list Gaizka Garitano for Cadiz and José Juan Romero for AD Ceuta FC. The latest recorded formations are Cadiz in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 18, 2026) and AD Ceuta FC in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 18, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Cadiz averaged 50.3% possession and 11.1 shots per match (3.1 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 7 matches, AD Ceuta FC averaged 51.3% possession and 17.9 shots (5.0 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Cadiz recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses, averaging 0.80 points, 1.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, AD Ceuta FC recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, averaging 0.33 points, 0.67 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Segunda División fixture takes place at JP Financial Estadio (Cadiz).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Cadiz: 0.8 points per home match compared with 0.3 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.59 — 1.33 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

143%Cadiz
X26%Draw
231%AD Ceuta FC
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes59%
No41%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 80%U 20%
O/U 2.5O 56%U 44%
O/U 3.5O 33%U 67%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Cadiz
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Cadiz.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 21%U 79%
3.5O 8%U 92%
AD Ceuta FC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for AD Ceuta FC.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 38%U 62%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Cadiz26%
AD Ceuta FC20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Cadiz20%
AD Ceuta FC14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Cadiz58%
AD Ceuta FC42%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Cadiz
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 21%L 57%
-0.5W 43%P 0%L 57%
0W 43%P 26%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 17%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
AD Ceuta FC
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 17%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 26%L 43%
+0.5W 57%P 0%L 43%
+1W 57%P 21%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.39%
#22-19.03%
#31-07.81%
#41-27.58%
#52-06.77%
Combined Top 543.58%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Cadiz + BTTS22%
AD Ceuta FC + BTTS17%
Draw + BTTS20%

Cadiz Season

Rank#20
Points7
Matches Left28

AD Ceuta FC Season

Rank#21
Points5
Matches Left28

Cadiz Last 5

Granada CF 2 - 0
Sporting Gijon 0 - 1
Leganes 4 - 0
Tenerife 1 - 1
Girona 1 - 2

AD Ceuta FC Last 5

Oviedo 1 - 2
Sabadell 1 - 2
Castellón 1 - 1
Real Sociedad II 3 - 1
Valladolid 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Cadiz: 0 Draws: 1 AD Ceuta FC: 3
2026 Cadiz 1 - 3 AD Ceuta FC
2026 AD Ceuta FC 2 - 1 Cadiz
2025 Cadiz 0 - 0 AD Ceuta FC
2025 Cadiz 0 - 3 AD Ceuta FC

Form Analysis

Cadiz
L L W D L
AD Ceuta FC
L L D W D

Cadiz Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored6
Goals conceded5
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.83

AD Ceuta FC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.75
Goals scored3
Goals conceded12
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)3.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cadiz
1.62
AD Ceuta FC
0.76

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Cadiz vs AD Ceuta FC is a Football football match on October 25, 2026 at Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LLWDL) for Cadiz and 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LLDWD) for AD Ceuta FC. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 25 Oct 2026
📍 Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Cadiz is currently #20 with 7 points from 10 matches, while AD Ceuta FC is #21 with 5 points from 10. Recent head-to-head history: Cadiz won 0, 1 were drawn and AD Ceuta FC won 3 across the last 4 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Cadiz at 1.00 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per home match, versus AD Ceuta FC at 0.75 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.62 for Cadiz and 0.76 for AD Ceuta FC.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.