What is the prediction for the football match between Cagliari and Bologna?
Our prediction for the Cagliari–Bologna match is: under 2.5 goals.
Other OPWIN picks
Cagliari to win (41% confidence); Cagliari to win or draw (75% confidence); both teams to score: no (46% confidence)
Cagliari
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Cagliari scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.
Bologna
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bologna scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Across the available samples, Cagliari and Bologna average 2.20 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace is consistent with Under 2.5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. Maldini contributed 4 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.44/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Juan Miranda contributed 0 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.76/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Cagliari records a mean of 6.66/10 versus 6.51/10 for Bologna.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The latest recorded formations are Cagliari in 4-3-1-2 (Oct 19, 2026) and Bologna in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, Cagliari averaged 39.6% possession and 10.0 shots per match (4.6 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 5 matches, Bologna averaged 44.4% possession and 11.6 shots (3.4 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 3 recent home matches, Cagliari recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.33 points, 0.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. Away from home, Bologna recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 0.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.
This Serie A fixture takes place at Unipol Domus (Cagliari).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Cagliari: 1.3 points per home match compared with 2.0 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.