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Cambuur

D W D W D
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

AZ Alkmaar

D W L W D
1X2 Cambuur 49%
O/U Over 2.5 75%
DC 1X 66%
BTTS Yes 66%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Cambuur 49% Draw 25% AZ Alkmaar 27%

Match Momentum

FULL TIME

Estimated attacking momentum from recorded match statistics.

Cambuur AZ Alkmaar
0' 15' 30' HT 60' 75' 90' 105' FT Cambuur · 10.0' · 2.25 AZ Alkmaar · 10.0' · 0 Cambuur · 14.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 14.0' · 0 Cambuur · 18.0' · 1 AZ Alkmaar · 18.0' · 0 Cambuur · 22.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 22.0' · 0 Cambuur · 24.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 24.0' · 0 Cambuur · 29.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 29.0' · 3.25 Cambuur · 33.0' · 1 AZ Alkmaar · 33.0' · 1.1 Cambuur · 37.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 37.0' · 2.25 Cambuur · 41.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 41.0' · 0 Cambuur · 45.0' · 2.25 AZ Alkmaar · 45.0' · 0 Cambuur · 49.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 49.0' · 0 Cambuur · 45.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 45.0' · 0 Cambuur · 45.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 45.0' · 0 Cambuur · 45.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 45.0' · 0 Cambuur · 45.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 45.0' · 0 Cambuur · 49.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 49.0' · 0 Cambuur · 53.0' · 4.25 AZ Alkmaar · 53.0' · 0 Cambuur · 61.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 61.0' · 2.2 Cambuur · 65.0' · 1.1 AZ Alkmaar · 65.0' · 0 Cambuur · 69.0' · 3.35 AZ Alkmaar · 69.0' · 0 Cambuur · 73.0' · 2.25 AZ Alkmaar · 73.0' · 1 Cambuur · 77.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 77.0' · 0 Cambuur · 81.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 81.0' · 1 Cambuur · 89.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 89.0' · 2.25 Cambuur · 93.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 93.0' · 3.2 Cambuur · 97.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 97.0' · 1.1 Cambuur · 101.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 101.0' · 0 Cambuur · 105.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 105.0' · 0 Cambuur · 109.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 109.0' · 0 Cambuur · 90.0' · 0 AZ Alkmaar · 90.0' · 0 Goal · 7' · Nicolas Binder Normal GoalG Card · 10' · Lewis Schouten C Card · 24' · Devid Eugene Bouah C Goal · 26' · Ro Zangelo Daal Normal GoalG Goal · 39' · Ilyes Hamache Normal GoalG Card · 53' · Devid Eugene Bouah C Substitution · 57' · Jason Ceka Rik Mulders ↔ Card · 59' · Ayoub Oufkir C Substitution · 63' · Mateo Chávez Mees de Wit ↔ Substitution · 63' · Ayoub Oufkir Bendegúz Kovács ↔ Substitution · 64' · Jordy Clasie Valdemar Byskov Andreasen ↔ Substitution · 64' · Wouter Goes Dave Kwakman ↔ Substitution · 74' · Nicolas Binder Sami Bouhoudane ↔ Card · 81' · Johan Plat C VAR review · 81' · Mees de Wit Penalty confirmedVAR Card · 82' · Thijs Jansen C Goal · 83' · Mexx Meerdink PenaltyG Substitution · 84' · Mathieu Maertens Jorn Berkhout ↔ Substitution · 84' · Rafik El Arguioui Wiebe Kooistra ↔ Substitution · 84' · Ilyes Hamache Iwan Henstra ↔ Substitution · 89' · Calvin Stengs Jerolldino Bergraaf ↔

G Goal · C Card · ↔ Substitution · VAR Review

Last sample: 02:43 PM UTC

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy75%
Premium Expected goals 1.71 — 1.61 Reliability 80%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

140%Cambuur
X24%Draw
236%AZ Alkmaar
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes66%
No34%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 64%U 36%
O/U 3.5O 42%U 58%
O/U 4.5O 24%U 76%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Cambuur
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Cambuur.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 51%U 49%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%
AZ Alkmaar
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for AZ Alkmaar.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Cambuur20%
AZ Alkmaar18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Cambuur16%
AZ Alkmaar14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Cambuur53%
AZ Alkmaar47%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Cambuur
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 19%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 24%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
AZ Alkmaar
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 24%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 19%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.73%
#22-18.48%
#31-28.01%
#42-26.83%
#51-05.60%
Combined Top 539.65%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Cambuur + BTTS24%
AZ Alkmaar + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

7' ⚽ Nicolas Binder
10' 🟥 Lewis Schouten
24' 🟥 Devid Eugene Bouah
26' ⚽ Ro Zangelo Daal
39' ⚽ Ilyes Hamache
53' 🟥 Devid Eugene Bouah
57' 🔄 In: Rik Mulders
59' 🟥 Ayoub Oufkir
63' 🔄 In: Mees de Wit
63' 🔄 In: Bendegúz Kovács
64' 🔄 In: Valdemar Byskov Andreasen
64' 🔄 In: Dave Kwakman
74' 🔄 In: Sami Bouhoudane
81' ⚽
81' 🟥 Johan Plat
82' 🟥 Thijs Jansen
83' ⚽ Mexx Meerdink
84' 🔄 In: Jorn Berkhout
84' 🔄 In: Iwan Henstra
84' 🔄 In: Wiebe Kooistra
89' 🔄 In: Jerolldino Bergraaf

Lineups

Cambuur Home
  • T. Jansen
  • D. Bouah
  • I. Baouf
  • B. van Duijl
  • M. Costarelli
  • M. Maertens
  • N. Souren
  • J. Çeka
  • R. El Arguioui
  • I. Hamache
  • N. Binder
AZ Alkmaar Away
  • J. De Busser
  • E. Dijkstra
  • W. Goes
  • L. Schouten
  • M. Chávez
  • J. Clasie
  • P. Koopmeiners
  • A. Oufkir
  • C. Stengs
  • R. Daal
  • M. Meerdink

Cambuur Season

Rank#14
Points9
Matches Left29

AZ Alkmaar Season

Rank#2
Points20
Matches Left29

Cambuur Last 5

AZ Alkmaar 2 - 2
PEC Zwolle 0 - 1
ADO Den Haag 1 - 1
NEC Nijmegen 3 - 0
Telstar 2 - 2

AZ Alkmaar Last 5

Cambuur 2 - 2
Hapoel Beer Sheva 2 - 1
Feyenoord 2 - 0
Telstar 1 - 0
Willem II 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Cambuur: 0 Draws: 2 AZ Alkmaar: 3
2023 AZ Alkmaar 2 - 1 Cambuur
2022 Cambuur 0 - 1 AZ Alkmaar
2022 AZ Alkmaar 0 - 0 Cambuur
2021 Cambuur 1 - 3 AZ Alkmaar
2017 AZ Alkmaar 0 - 0 Cambuur

Form Analysis

Cambuur
D W D W D
AZ Alkmaar
D L W D W

Cambuur Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.60
Goals scored8
Goals conceded15
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)3.00

AZ Alkmaar Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.20
Goals scored11
Goals conceded7
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.40

Match Statistics

11Shots7
6Shots on Target4
3Corners6
36%Possession64%
1Yellow Cards2

Expected Goals (xG)

Cambuur
2.13
AZ Alkmaar
1.87

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar is a Eredivisie football match on October 18, 2026 at Cambuur Stadion. Recent form is 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses (form: DWDWD) for Cambuur and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DLWDW) for AZ Alkmaar. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Cambuur Stadion

Standings & Context

In the Eredivisie standings, Cambuur is currently #14 with 9 points from 9 matches, while AZ Alkmaar is #2 with 20 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: Cambuur won 0, 2 were drawn and AZ Alkmaar won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Cambuur at 1.60 goals scored and 3.00 conceded per home match, versus AZ Alkmaar at 2.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.13 for Cambuur and 1.87 for AZ Alkmaar. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 75% (result: 2 - 2).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.