OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

Modena

W W L W
1X2 Modena 49%
O/U Under 2.5 64%
DC X2 94%
BTTS No 48%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Carrarese 24% Draw 27% Modena 49%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy0%
Premium Expected goals 1.04 — 1.60 Reliability 20%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

124%Carrarese
X27%Draw
249%Modena
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes52%
No48%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 75%U 25%
O/U 2.5O 49%U 51%
O/U 3.5O 27%U 73%
O/U 4.5O 13%U 87%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Carrarese
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 98%

The model assigns 98% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Carrarese.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 91%

A different goal line with 91% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 65%U 35%
1.5O 28%U 72%
2.5O 9%U 91%
3.5O 2%U 98%
Modena
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Modena.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Carrarese20%
Modena35%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Carrarese12%
Modena27%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Carrarese33%
Modena67%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Carrarese
-1.5W 9%P 0%L 91%
-1W 9%P 15%L 76%
-0.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
0W 24%P 27%L 49%
+0.5W 51%P 0%L 49%
+1W 51%P 23%L 26%
+1.5W 74%P 0%L 26%
Modena
-1.5W 26%P 0%L 74%
-1W 26%P 23%L 51%
-0.5W 49%P 0%L 51%
0W 49%P 27%L 24%
+0.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
+1W 76%P 15%L 9%
+1.5W 91%P 0%L 9%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.84%
#20-110.66%
#31-29.47%
#40-29.08%
#50-07.82%
Combined Top 549.87%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Carrarese + BTTS12%
Modena + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS19%

Match Timeline

1' ⚽ Fabio abiuso
25' 🟥 Fabio Andrea
28' 🟥 Jonas Rouhi
51' 🟥 Fabio abiuso
52' ⚽ Tommaso Rubino
56' 🔄 In: Andrea Belotti
56' 🔄 In: Giacomo Olzer
56' 🔄 In: Francesco Folino
61' 🔄 In: Jacopo Martini
71' 🔄 In: G. Marconi
76' ⚽ Andrea Belotti
81' 🔄 In: T. Guercio
81' 🔄 In: Luka Topalovic
85' 🔄 In: Daniele Montevago
88' 🟥 Guido Pagliuca
90' 🟥 Giuseppe Caso
90' 🟥 Simone Santoro
90' 🟥 G. Marconi

Lineups

Carrarese Home
  • S. Pizzignacco
  • F. Ruggeri
  • F. Oliana
  • F. Reale
  • N. Belloni
  • G. Parlanti
  • Nicolás Schiavi
  • M. Braunöder
  • J. Rouhi
  • F. Abiuso
  • T. Rubino
Modena Away
  • L. Chichizola
  • D. Tonoli
  • S. Nador
  • B. Nieling
  • Paulo Azzi
  • S. Santoro
  • G. Brugman
  • A. Bianco
  • F. Zampano
  • G. Caso
  • G. Ambrosino

Carrarese Season

Rank#17
Points7
Matches Left31

Modena Season

Rank#3
Points16
Matches Left30

Carrarese Last 5

Modena 2 - 1
Padova 0 - 2
Benevento 0 - 1

Modena Last 5

Cesena 3 - 0
Carrarese 2 - 1
Hellas Verona 3 - 2
Empoli 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Carrarese: 1 Draws: 1 Modena: 3
2026 Modena 2 - 0 Carrarese
2025 Carrarese 0 - 0 Modena
2025 Carrarese 2 - 1 Modena
2024 Modena 2 - 0 Carrarese
2022 Carrarese 2 - 3 Modena

Form Analysis

Carrarese
W W L L L
Modena
W L W W D

Carrarese Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.75
Goals scored3
Goals conceded5
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.25

Modena Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.75
Goals scored7
Goals conceded4
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

9Shots14
4Shots on Target4
2Corners8
42%Possession58%
4Yellow Cards2

Expected Goals (xG)

Carrarese
0.33
Modena
1.80

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Carrarese vs Modena is a Football football match on October 17, 2026 at Stadio dei Marmi. Recent form is 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: WWLLL) for Carrarese and 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WLWWD) for Modena. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Stadio dei Marmi

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Carrarese is currently #17 with 7 points from 7 matches, while Modena is #3 with 16 points from 8. Recent head-to-head history: Carrarese won 1, 1 were drawn and Modena won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Carrarese at 0.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per home match, versus Modena at 1.75 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.33 for Carrarese and 1.80 for Modena. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 0% (result: 2 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.