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Catanzaro

D L D D L
VS
AI Predicts: 0-0
Away

Mantova

L W L D D
1X2 Catanzaro 37%
O/U Under 2.5 80%
DC 1X 74%
BTTS Yes 55%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Catanzaro 37% Draw 28% Mantova 35%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy25%
Premium Expected goals 1.35 — 1.30 Reliability 0%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

137%Catanzaro
X28%Draw
235%Mantova
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes55%
No45%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 75%U 25%
O/U 2.5O 49%U 51%
O/U 3.5O 28%U 72%
O/U 4.5O 13%U 87%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Catanzaro
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Catanzaro.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 39%U 61%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Mantova
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 96%

The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Mantova.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 86%

A different goal line with 86% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 73%U 27%
1.5O 37%U 63%
2.5O 14%U 86%
3.5O 4%U 96%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Catanzaro27%
Mantova26%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Catanzaro19%
Mantova18%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Catanzaro51%
Mantova49%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Catanzaro
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 20%L 63%
-0.5W 37%P 0%L 63%
0W 37%P 28%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 19%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Mantova
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 19%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 28%L 37%
+0.5W 63%P 0%L 37%
+1W 63%P 20%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-113.39%
#21-08.72%
#30-18.41%
#42-18.33%
#51-28.06%
Combined Top 546.91%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Catanzaro + BTTS18%
Mantova + BTTS17%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

18' 🟥 Stefano Cella
30' ⚽ Bodin Tomašević
34' ⚽ Francesco Ruocco
45' 🔄 In: Franky Tchaouna
45' 🔄 In: Federico Di Francesco
55' ⚽ Davide Bragantini
64' 🔄 In: Marco D'Alessandro
64' 🔄 In: Emanuele Pecorino
66' 🔄 In: Ismael Cajazzo
66' 🔄 In: Jean-Pierre Longonda Itamba Mboyo
71' 🔄 In: Ettore Gliozzi
72' 🔄 In: Tommaso Del Lungo
78' 🔄 In: G. Arditi
83' 🔄 In: Sambaly Keita
86' 🟥 Marco Ruggero
90' ⚽ Matias Antonini Lui
90' 🟥 Fahem Benaissa Yahia
90' 🟥 Federico Di Francesco

Lineups

Catanzaro Home
  • M. Pigliacelli
  • M. Ruggero
  • Matias Antonini
  • M. Imperiale
  • R. Frosinini
  • N. Mosti
  • J. Petriccione
  • M. Dorval
  • S. Pafundi
  • G. Alesi
  • P. Iemmello
Mantova Away
  • F. Bardi
  • B. Tomašević
  • S. Cella
  • A. Castellini
  • Jonathan Silva
  • L. Ignacchiti
  • R. Kouda
  • F. Benaissa-Yahia
  • D. Bragantini
  • F. Ruocco
  • R. Ilie

Catanzaro Season

Rank#20
Points6
Matches Left27

Mantova Season

Rank#4
Points19
Matches Left27

Catanzaro Last 5

Cesena 1 - 0
Padova 1 - 1
Benevento 1 - 1
Ascoli 1 - 6
Hellas Verona 2 - 2

Mantova Last 5

Hellas Verona 0 - 0
Modena 1 - 1
Cremonese 0 - 2
Virtus Entella 0 - 1
Palermo 0 - 2

Head-to-Head

Catanzaro: 2 Draws: 2 Mantova: 0
2026 Catanzaro 2 - 0 Mantova
2025 Mantova 1 - 3 Catanzaro
2025 Mantova 0 - 0 Catanzaro
2024 Catanzaro 2 - 2 Mantova

Form Analysis

Catanzaro
D L D D L
Mantova
L W L D D

Catanzaro Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored3
Goals conceded10
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)3.33

Mantova Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.67
Goals scored5
Goals conceded2
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.67

Match Statistics

14Shots17
4Shots on Target8
5Corners6
52%Possession48%
2Yellow Cards2

Expected Goals (xG)

Catanzaro
0.85
Mantova
0.67

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Catanzaro vs Mantova is a Football football match on October 11, 2026 at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo. Recent form is 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses (form: DLDDL) for Catanzaro and 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LWLDD) for Mantova. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Catanzaro is currently #20 with 6 points from 11 matches, while Mantova is #4 with 19 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Catanzaro won 2, 2 were drawn and Mantova won 0 across the last 4 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Catanzaro at 1.00 goals scored and 3.33 conceded per home match, versus Mantova at 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.85 for Catanzaro and 0.67 for Mantova. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 25% (result: 1 - 3).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.