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Celta Vigo
W D L L D
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
Away

Bournemouth
W W W W W
1X2 Celta Vigo 40%
O/U Over 2.5 65%
DC X2 72%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Celta Vigo 40% Draw 22% Bournemouth 38%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Celta Vigo and Bournemouth?

Our prediction for the Celta Vigo–Bournemouth match is: Bournemouth to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Celta Vigo to win (40% confidence); over 2.5 goals (65% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)

Celta Vigo

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Celta Vigo scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

Bournemouth

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Bournemouth scored an average of 2.60 goals and conceded 0.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Celta Vigo scored 0.60 and conceded 1.20 per match across 5 covered games; Bournemouth scored 2.60 and conceded 0.40 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Javi Rodríguez contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.26/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Evanilson contributed 4 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.82/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists Claudio Giráldez as coach of Celta Vigo. The latest recorded formations are Celta Vigo in 3-4-3 (Nov 8, 2026) and Bournemouth in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 8, 2026). Across 11 recent matches with possession and shot data, Celta Vigo averaged 50.0% possession and 13.5 shots per match (3.8 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 11 matches, Bournemouth averaged 52.7% possession and 16.7 shots (5.8 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 9 recent home matches, Celta Vigo recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 1.22 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per match. Away from home, Bournemouth recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 5 matches, averaging 2.00 points, 2.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.52 — 1.63 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

135%Celta Vigo
X25%Draw
240%Bournemouth
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 61%U 39%
O/U 3.5O 39%U 61%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Celta Vigo
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Celta Vigo.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%
Bournemouth
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Bournemouth.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Celta Vigo20%
Bournemouth22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Celta Vigo15%
Bournemouth17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Celta Vigo47%
Bournemouth53%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Celta Vigo
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 25%L 40%
+0.5W 60%P 0%L 40%
+1W 60%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Bournemouth
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 60%
-0.5W 40%P 0%L 60%
0W 40%P 25%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.49%
#21-28.62%
#32-18.05%
#42-26.57%
#50-16.28%
Combined Top 541.01%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Celta Vigo + BTTS21%
Bournemouth + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Celta Vigo Season

Rank#27
Points3
Matches Left34

Bournemouth Season

Rank#2
Points12
Matches Left34

Celta Vigo Last 5

Levante 0 - 0
Union St. Gilloise 1 - 2
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 0
Real Betis 0 - 0
Celtic 1 - 2

Bournemouth Last 5

Ipswich 1 - 2
Sparta Praha 1 - 3
Leeds 2 - 0
Manchester United 0 - 3
AC Milan 3 - 0

Head-to-Head

No recent meetings found.

Form Analysis

Celta Vigo
L W L L
Bournemouth
W W W W

Celta Vigo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored2
Goals conceded4
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.00

Bournemouth Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.50
Goals scored5
Goals conceded2
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Celta Vigo
1.41
Bournemouth
1.96

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Celta Vigo vs Bournemouth is a Europa League football match on November 26, 2026 at Estadio Abanca-Balaídos. Recent form is 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LWLL) for Celta Vigo and 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWW) for Bournemouth. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 26 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio Abanca-Balaídos

Standings & Context

In the Europa League standings, Celta Vigo is currently #27 with 3 points from 4 matches, while Bournemouth is #2 with 12 points from 4. Recent head-to-head history: No recent head-to-head history is available for this fixture..

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Celta Vigo at 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per home match, versus Bournemouth at 2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.41 for Celta Vigo and 1.96 for Bournemouth.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.