OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
1X2 Cesena 42%
O/U Over 2.5 60%
DC 1X 78%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Cesena 42% Draw 25% Avellino 33%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.69 — 1.47 Reliability 20%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

142%Cesena
X25%Draw
233%Avellino
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 61%U 39%
O/U 3.5O 39%U 61%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Cesena
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Cesena.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 50%U 50%
2.5O 24%U 76%
3.5O 9%U 91%
Avellino
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Avellino.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Cesena23%
Avellino18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Cesena18%
Avellino14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Cesena56%
Avellino44%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Cesena
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 25%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 17%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Avellino
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 17%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 25%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.42%
#22-18.89%
#31-27.72%
#41-06.56%
#52-26.52%
Combined Top 541.11%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Cesena + BTTS24%
Avellino + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

13' 🟥 Brando Moruzzi
45' 🟥 Alessandro Diamanti
45' 🔄 In: Matteo Guidi
51' ⚽ Antonio Fiori
57' 🔄 In: Giacomo Faticanti
57' 🔄 In: L. Di Maggio
64' 🔄 In: Alessandro Debenedetti
65' 🔄 In: Massimiliano Mangraviti
67' ⚽ Armando Izzo
73' 🔄 In: Andrea Favilli
77' 🔄 In: Matteo Piacentini
83' 🟥 Emil Bohinen
84' 🔄 In: Dimitrios Sounas
84' 🔄 In: Tommaso Biasci
84' 🔄 In: Matteo Francesconi

Lineups

Cesena Home
  • A. Siano
  • A. Ciofi
  • M. Ilić
  • J. Gelli
  • G. Frabotta
  • D. Bisoli
  • E. Bohinen
  • L. D'Andrea
  • R. Pagano
  • A. Fiori
  • C. Shpendi
Avellino Away
  • T. Martinelli
  • A. Izzo
  • M. Venturi
  • P. Enrici
  • F. Missori
  • M. Palumbo
  • L. Palmiero
  • M. Besaggio
  • B. Moruzzi
  • R. Russo
  • W. Cheddira

Cesena Season

Rank#12
Points8
Matches Left31

Avellino Season

Rank#7
Points11
Matches Left31

Cesena Last 5

Avellino 1 - 1
Benevento 2 - 0

Avellino Last 5

Cesena 1 - 1
Sampdoria 4 - 1
Ascoli 3 - 1

Head-to-Head

Cesena: 2 Draws: 2 Avellino: 1
2026 Avellino 3 - 1 Cesena
2025 Cesena 3 - 0 Avellino
2018 Avellino 1 - 1 Cesena
2017 Cesena 3 - 1 Avellino
2017 Avellino 1 - 1 Cesena

Form Analysis

Cesena
D L D D D
Avellino
D W L D W

Cesena Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.25
Goals scored5
Goals conceded5
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.25

Avellino Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored3
Goals conceded4
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.33

Match Statistics

18Shots20
6Shots on Target4
7Corners5
38%Possession62%
1Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Cesena
1.97
Avellino
1.18

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Cesena vs Avellino is a Football football match on October 18, 2026 at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi. Recent form is 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses (form: DLDDD) for Cesena and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: DWLDW) for Avellino. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Cesena is currently #12 with 8 points from 7 matches, while Avellino is #7 with 11 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Cesena won 2, 2 were drawn and Avellino won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Cesena at 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per home match, versus Avellino at 1.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.97 for Cesena and 1.18 for Avellino. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 1 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.