OpWin.

VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Empoli

L L D
1X2 Cesena 46%
O/U Under 2.5 65%
DC 1X 72%
BTTS Yes 59%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Cesena 46% Draw 24% Empoli 30%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Cesena and Empoli?

Our prediction for the Cesena–Empoli match is: Cesena to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Cesena to win (46% confidence); under 2.5 goals (65% confidence); both teams to score: yes (59% confidence)

Empoli

Across the 3 most recent finished matches with available data, Empoli scored an average of 1.33 goals and conceded 2.33 per match.

Players to watch

Across 2 recent recorded appearances, A. Fiori contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.18/10 across 2 rated appearances. Across 2 recent recorded appearances, Gerard Yepes contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.31/10 across 2 rated appearances.

Match context

The coaching matchup recorded for this fixture is M. Mignani with Cesena against R. D'Aversa with Empoli.

This Serie B fixture takes place at Stadio Dino Manuzzi (Cesena).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Cesena, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.49 — 1.38 Reliability 40%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%Cesena
X26%Draw
234%Empoli
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes59%
No41%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 79%U 21%
O/U 2.5O 55%U 45%
O/U 3.5O 32%U 68%
O/U 4.5O 16%U 84%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Cesena
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Cesena.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 23%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Empoli
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Empoli.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 40%U 60%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Cesena25%
Empoli23%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Cesena19%
Empoli16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Cesena53%
Empoli47%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Cesena
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 20%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 26%L 34%
+0.5W 66%P 0%L 34%
+1W 66%P 18%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Empoli
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 18%L 66%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 66%
0W 34%P 26%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 20%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.56%
#22-18.65%
#31-28.03%
#41-07.74%
#50-17.14%
Combined Top 544.12%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Cesena + BTTS20%
Empoli + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%

Cesena Season

Rank#12
Points8
Matches Left31

Empoli Season

Rank#14
Points7
Matches Left31

Cesena Last 5

Avellino 1 - 1
Benevento 2 - 0

Empoli Last 5

Ascoli 1 - 1
Palermo 2 - 4
Modena 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Cesena: 1 Draws: 1 Empoli: 3
2026 Empoli 1 - 1 Cesena
2026 Cesena 0 - 1 Empoli
2018 Cesena 2 - 3 Empoli
2017 Empoli 5 - 3 Cesena
2016 Empoli 1 - 2 Cesena

Form Analysis

Cesena
D L D D D
Empoli
D L L L W

Cesena Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.25
Goals scored5
Goals conceded5
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.25

Empoli Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored4
Goals conceded6
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cesena
1.18
Empoli
0.91

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Cesena vs Empoli is a Football football match on October 27, 2026 at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi. Recent form is 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 losses (form: DLDDD) for Cesena and 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: DLLLW) for Empoli. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 27 Oct 2026
📍 Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Cesena is currently #12 with 8 points from 7 matches, while Empoli is #14 with 7 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Cesena won 1, 1 were drawn and Empoli won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Cesena at 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per home match, versus Empoli at 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.18 for Cesena and 0.91 for Empoli.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.