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Chicago Fire
W W W L L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Orlando City SC
L L W D W
1X2 Orlando City SC 48%
O/U Over 2.5 81%
DC 1X 64%
BTTS Yes 68%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Chicago Fire 29% Draw 23% Orlando City SC 48%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Chicago Fire and Orlando City SC?

Our prediction for the Chicago Fire–Orlando City SC match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Orlando City SC to win (48% confidence); Chicago Fire to win or draw (64% confidence); both teams to score: yes (68% confidence)

Chicago Fire

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Chicago Fire scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

Orlando City SC

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Orlando City SC scored an average of 2.80 goals and conceded 2.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Chicago Fire and Orlando City SC average 4.20 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Haile-Selassie contributed 3 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.85/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, A. Griezmann contributed 4 goal(s) and 3 assist(s). Available ratings average 8.48/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Orlando City SC records a mean of 6.84/10 versus 6.39/10 for Chicago Fire.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list G. Berhalter for Chicago Fire and Ó. Pareja for Orlando City SC. The latest recorded formations are Chicago Fire in 4-3-3 (Oct 17, 2026) and Orlando City SC in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Chicago Fire averaged 52.1% possession and 15.1 shots per match (5.1 on target), a high shot volume profile. Across 8 matches, Orlando City SC averaged 55.9% possession and 13.9 shots (5.8 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Chicago Fire recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.40 points, 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per match. Away from home, Orlando City SC recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 2.60 goals scored and 3.20 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Major League Soccer fixture takes place at Soldier Field (Chicago).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Chicago Fire: 1.4 points per home match compared with 1.0 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.81 — 1.66 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%Chicago Fire
X24%Draw
235%Orlando City SC
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes68%
No32%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 87%U 13%
O/U 2.5O 67%U 33%
O/U 3.5O 46%U 54%
O/U 4.5O 27%U 73%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Chicago Fire
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 89%

The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Chicago Fire.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 84%U 16%
1.5O 54%U 46%
2.5O 27%U 73%
3.5O 11%U 89%
Orlando City SC
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Orlando City SC.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Chicago Fire19%
Orlando City SC16%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Chicago Fire15%
Orlando City SC13%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Chicago Fire54%
Orlando City SC46%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Chicago Fire
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 19%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 24%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 17%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Orlando City SC
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 17%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 24%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 19%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.15%
#22-18.42%
#31-27.76%
#42-27.01%
#53-15.07%
Combined Top 538.41%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Chicago Fire + BTTS26%
Orlando City SC + BTTS23%
Draw + BTTS20%

Chicago Fire Season

Rank#4
Points48
Matches Left8

Orlando City SC Season

Rank#7
Points41
Matches Left8

Chicago Fire Last 5

New England Revolution 1 - 0
Philadelphia Union 1 - 3
New York City FC 2 - 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 3 - 1
Charlotte 0 - 1

Orlando City SC Last 5

DC United 4 - 1
Toronto FC 3 - 3
Columbus Crew 3 - 2
Philadelphia Union 4 - 2
New England Revolution 4 - 2

Head-to-Head

Chicago Fire: 3 Draws: 1 Orlando City SC: 1
2026 Orlando City SC 1 - 2 Chicago Fire
2025 Chicago Fire 3 - 1 Orlando City SC
2025 Orlando City SC 1 - 3 Chicago Fire
2025 Chicago Fire 0 - 0 Orlando City SC
2024 Orlando City SC 4 - 2 Chicago Fire

Form Analysis

Chicago Fire
W W W L L
Orlando City SC
L L W D W

Chicago Fire Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.60
Goals scored8
Goals conceded8
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.60

Orlando City SC Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.60
Goals scored13
Goals conceded16
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)3.20

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Chicago Fire
2.32
Orlando City SC
2.14

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Chicago Fire vs Orlando City SC is a Football football match on October 28, 2026 at Soldier Field. Recent form is 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses (form: WWWLL) for Chicago Fire and 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: LLWDW) for Orlando City SC. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 28 Oct 2026
📍 Soldier Field

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Chicago Fire is currently #4 with 48 points from 30 matches, while Orlando City SC is #7 with 41 points from 30. Recent head-to-head history: Chicago Fire won 3, 1 were drawn and Orlando City SC won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Chicago Fire at 1.60 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per home match, versus Orlando City SC at 2.60 goals scored and 3.20 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.32 for Chicago Fire and 2.14 for Orlando City SC.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.