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Como
L D L W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Sassuolo
D W L D L
1X2 Como 55%
O/U Over 2.5 72%
DC 1X 88%
BTTS Yes 66%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Como 55% Draw 24% Sassuolo 21%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Como and Sassuolo?

Our prediction for the Como–Sassuolo match is: Como to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Como to win (55% confidence); over 2.5 goals (72% confidence); both teams to score: yes (66% confidence)

Como

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Como scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 1.40 per match.

Sassuolo

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Sassuolo scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 2.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Como scored 1.80 and conceded 1.40 per match across 5 covered games; Sassuolo scored 1.80 and conceded 2.20 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, N. Paz contributed 3 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.71/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Vasilije Adžić contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.26/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists Cesc Fàbregas as coach of Como. The latest recorded formations are Como in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 21, 2026) and Sassuolo in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 16, 2026). Across 8 recent matches with possession and shot data, Como averaged 58.4% possession and 18.1 shots per match (6.9 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 5 matches, Sassuolo averaged 49.4% possession and 14.0 shots (6.0 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

Home and away performance

In 4 recent home matches, Como recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.50 points, 2.50 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. Away from home, Sassuolo recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, averaging 0.33 points, 1.67 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Serie A fixture takes place at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia (Como).

Recent results show that Como have a stronger record at home than away: 3 wins in 4 home matches, averaging 2.5 points per home match compared with 1.8 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.92 — 1.45 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

148%Como
X23%Draw
229%Sassuolo
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes66%
No34%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 86%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 65%U 35%
O/U 3.5O 43%U 57%
O/U 4.5O 25%U 75%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Como
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 87%

The model assigns 87% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Como.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 85%U 15%
1.5O 57%U 43%
2.5O 30%U 70%
3.5O 13%U 87%
Sassuolo
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sassuolo.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 43%U 57%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Como23%
Sassuolo15%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Como19%
Sassuolo11%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Como63%
Sassuolo37%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Como
-1.5W 27%P 0%L 73%
-1W 27%P 21%L 52%
-0.5W 48%P 0%L 52%
0W 48%P 23%L 29%
+0.5W 71%P 0%L 29%
+1W 71%P 15%L 13%
+1.5W 87%P 0%L 13%
Sassuolo
-1.5W 13%P 0%L 87%
-1W 13%P 15%L 71%
-0.5W 29%P 0%L 71%
0W 29%P 23%L 48%
+0.5W 52%P 0%L 48%
+1W 52%P 21%L 27%
+1.5W 73%P 0%L 27%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.28%
#22-19.16%
#31-26.93%
#42-26.66%
#52-06.31%
Combined Top 539.34%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Como + BTTS29%
Sassuolo + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS19%

Como Season

Rank#5
Points14
Matches Left31

Sassuolo Season

Rank#13
Points8
Matches Left31

Como Last 5

Manchester United 4 - 1
Fiorentina 1 - 3
Feyenoord 3 - 2
AS Roma 0 - 0
Frosinone 2 - 0

Sassuolo Last 5

Frosinone 4 - 2
AC Milan 1 - 1
Monza 2 - 1
Juventus 3 - 2
Bologna 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

Como: 0 Draws: 0 Sassuolo: 3
2026 Sassuolo 2 - 1 Como
2025 Como 2 - 0 Sassuolo
2025 Como 3 - 0 Sassuolo

Form Analysis

Como
W D L W W
Sassuolo
L D L W D

Como Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored2
Goals conceded1
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.50

Sassuolo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored6
Goals conceded10
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.50

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Como
2.77
Sassuolo
1.12

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Como vs Sassuolo is a Serie A football match on October 24, 2026 at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia. Recent form is 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: WDLWW) for Como and 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LDLWD) for Sassuolo. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 24 Oct 2026
📍 Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia

Standings & Context

In the Serie A standings, Como is currently #5 with 14 points from 7 matches, while Sassuolo is #13 with 8 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Como won 0, 0 were drawn and Sassuolo won 3 across the last 3 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Como at 1.00 goals scored and 0.50 conceded per home match, versus Sassuolo at 1.50 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.77 for Como and 1.12 for Sassuolo.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.