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Coritiba
D L L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

Santos
L W D D L
1X2 Coritiba 47%
O/U Over 1.5 75%
DC X2 68%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Coritiba 47% Draw 23% Santos 29%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Coritiba and Santos?

Our prediction for the Coritiba–Santos match is: over 1.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Coritiba to win (47% confidence); Santos to win or draw (68% confidence); both teams to score: yes (62% confidence)

Coritiba

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Coritiba scored an average of 0.60 goals and conceded 0.80 per match.

Santos

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Santos scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.20 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Coritiba and Santos average 1.60 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 1.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Tiago Cóser contributed 0 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.94/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Gabriel Barbosa contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.16/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists J. Vojvoda as coach of Santos. The latest recorded formations are Coritiba in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 4, 2026) and Santos in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 2, 2026). Across 9 recent matches with possession and shot data, Coritiba averaged 43.3% possession and 12.8 shots per match (3.6 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 10 matches, Santos averaged 51.5% possession and 15.4 shots (5.2 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Coritiba recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per match. Away from home, Santos recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in 7 matches, averaging 2.14 points, 1.71 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per match. The away side’s recent road record compares favourably with the home side’s home record.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.49 — 1.54 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

136%Coritiba
X26%Draw
238%Santos
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 81%U 19%
O/U 2.5O 58%U 42%
O/U 3.5O 36%U 64%
O/U 4.5O 19%U 81%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Coritiba
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Coritiba.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Santos
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Santos.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Coritiba21%
Santos23%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Coritiba16%
Santos17%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Coritiba49%
Santos51%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Coritiba
-1.5W 17%P 0%L 83%
-1W 17%P 19%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 26%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 19%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Santos
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 19%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 26%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 19%L 17%
+1.5W 83%P 0%L 17%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.06%
#21-28.51%
#32-18.24%
#40-16.76%
#51-06.52%
Combined Top 542.09%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Coritiba + BTTS20%
Santos + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

Coritiba Season

Rank#12
Points42
Matches Left4

Santos Season

Rank#9
Points47
Matches Left4

Coritiba Last 5

Internacional 1 - 0
Vitoria 2 - 0
Gremio 0 - 1
Atletico-MG 1 - 0
Botafogo 1 - 1

Santos Last 5

RB Bragantino 2 - 1
Palmeiras 0 - 0
Bahia 1 - 1
Fluminense 1 - 2
Atletico-MG 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Coritiba: 1 Draws: 1 Santos: 3
2026 Santos 0 - 3 Coritiba
2026 Coritiba 0 - 2 Santos
2026 Santos 0 - 0 Coritiba
2024 Coritiba 0 - 2 Santos
2024 Santos 4 - 0 Coritiba

Form Analysis

Coritiba
L W L L D
Santos
L D D W L

Coritiba Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.29
Goals scored22
Goals conceded21
Matches17
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.24

Santos Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.59
Goals scored27
Goals conceded28
Matches17
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.65

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Coritiba
1.22
Santos
1.41

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Coritiba vs Santos is a Brasileirão football match on November 18, 2026 at Couto Pereira. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LWLLD) for Coritiba and 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LDDWL) for Santos. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 18 Nov 2026
📍 Couto Pereira

Standings & Context

In the Brasileirão standings, Coritiba is currently #12 with 42 points from 34 matches, while Santos is #9 with 47 points from 34. Recent head-to-head history: Coritiba won 1, 1 were drawn and Santos won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Coritiba at 1.29 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per home match, versus Santos at 1.59 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.22 for Coritiba and 1.41 for Santos.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.