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Cruz Azul
L D D W W
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Leon
D W D L W
1X2 Cruz Azul 56%
O/U Over 2.5 77%
DC 1X 80%
BTTS Yes 67%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Cruz Azul 56% Draw 25% Leon 19%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Cruz Azul and Leon?

Our prediction for the Cruz Azul–Leon match is: Cruz Azul to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Cruz Azul to win (56% confidence); over 2.5 goals (77% confidence); both teams to score: yes (67% confidence)

Cruz Azul

Across the 4 most recent finished matches with available data, Cruz Azul scored an average of 3.25 goals and conceded 1.75 per match.

Leon

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Leon scored an average of 1.80 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Cruz Azul scored 3.25 and conceded 1.75 per match across 4 covered games; Leon scored 1.80 and conceded 1.60 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 4 recent recorded appearances, A. Montaño contributed 3 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.70/10 across 4 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, I. Díaz contributed 3 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.18/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Cruz Azul records a mean of 7.02/10 versus 6.57/10 for Leon.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list N. Larcamón for Cruz Azul and E. Berizzo for Leon. The latest recorded formations are Cruz Azul in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 22, 2026) and Leon in 4-1-4-1 (Oct 21, 2026). Across 4 recent matches with possession and shot data, Cruz Azul averaged 57.5% possession and 18.3 shots per match (6.8 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 5 matches, Leon averaged 50.0% possession and 11.2 shots (5.0 on target), a a strong average volume of shots on target profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is shot production.

This Liga MX fixture takes place at Estadio Banorte (Mexico City).

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Cruz Azul, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.88 — 1.55 Reliability 80%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

145%Cruz Azul
X23%Draw
232%Leon
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes67%
No33%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 86%U 14%
O/U 2.5O 66%U 34%
O/U 3.5O 45%U 55%
O/U 4.5O 26%U 74%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Cruz Azul
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 88%

The model assigns 88% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Cruz Azul.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 85%U 15%
1.5O 56%U 44%
2.5O 29%U 71%
3.5O 12%U 88%
Leon
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Leon.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Cruz Azul21%
Leon15%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Cruz Azul17%
Leon12%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Cruz Azul59%
Leon41%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Cruz Azul
-1.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
-1W 25%P 20%L 55%
-0.5W 45%P 0%L 55%
0W 45%P 23%L 32%
+0.5W 68%P 0%L 32%
+1W 68%P 16%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Leon
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 16%L 68%
-0.5W 32%P 0%L 68%
0W 32%P 23%L 45%
+0.5W 55%P 0%L 45%
+1W 55%P 20%L 25%
+1.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.14%
#22-18.86%
#31-27.31%
#42-26.85%
#52-05.72%
Combined Top 538.88%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Cruz Azul + BTTS28%
Leon + BTTS20%
Draw + BTTS20%

Cruz Azul Season

Rank#3
Points23
Matches Left25

Leon Season

Rank#5
Points21
Matches Left25

Cruz Azul Last 5

CF Pachuca 1 - 2
FC Juarez 5 - 0
U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3 - 3
Toluca 3 - 3
Monterrey 1 - 0

Leon Last 5

Tigres UANL 0 - 2
Club America 3 - 5
Puebla 1 - 1
FC Juarez 2 - 1
Club Queretaro 1 - 1

Head-to-Head

Cruz Azul: 4 Draws: 0 Leon: 1
2026 Leon 2 - 1 Cruz Azul
2025 Cruz Azul 4 - 1 Leon
2025 Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Leon
2025 Leon 2 - 3 Cruz Azul
2025 Cruz Azul 2 - 1 Leon

Form Analysis

Cruz Azul
W W D D L
Leon
W L D W D

Cruz Azul Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.43
Goals scored17
Goals conceded12
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.71

Leon Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.14
Goals scored8
Goals conceded8
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.14

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Cruz Azul
2.68
Leon
1.52

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Cruz Azul vs Leon is a Football football match on November 1, 2026 at Estadio Azteca. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: WWDDL) for Cruz Azul and 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: WLDWD) for Leon. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 1 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio Azteca

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Cruz Azul is currently #3 with 23 points from 13 matches, while Leon is #5 with 21 points from 13. Recent head-to-head history: Cruz Azul won 4, 0 were drawn and Leon won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Cruz Azul at 2.43 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per home match, versus Leon at 1.14 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.68 for Cruz Azul and 1.52 for Leon.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.