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Crystal Palace
L D W L L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

Newcastle
D L W L L
1X2 Newcastle 40%
O/U Over 2.5 78%
DC 1X 66%
BTTS Yes 67%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Crystal Palace 36% Draw 24% Newcastle 40%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Crystal Palace and Newcastle?

Our prediction for the Crystal Palace–Newcastle match is: over 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

Newcastle to win (40% confidence); Crystal Palace to win or draw (66% confidence); both teams to score: yes (67% confidence)

Crystal Palace

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Crystal Palace scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.

Newcastle

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Newcastle scored an average of 1.20 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Across the available samples, Crystal Palace and Newcastle average 2.60 goals scored per match combined. That recent scoring pace aligns with Over 2.5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. Kamada contributed 2 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.69/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, H. Barnes contributed 1 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.05/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Newcastle records a mean of 6.57/10 versus 6.31/10 for Crystal Palace.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list O. Glasner for Crystal Palace and E. Howe for Newcastle. The latest recorded formations are Crystal Palace in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 18, 2026) and Newcastle in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Crystal Palace averaged 44.3% possession and 10.5 shots per match (4.2 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 5 matches, Newcastle averaged 55.8% possession and 12.4 shots (3.8 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, Crystal Palace recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.00 points, 2.00 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per match. Away from home, Newcastle recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.00 points, 1.33 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Premier League fixture takes place at Selhurst Park (London).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Crystal Palace: 1.0 points per home match compared with 1.0 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.74 — 1.62 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

141%Crystal Palace
X24%Draw
235%Newcastle
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes67%
No33%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 65%U 35%
O/U 3.5O 43%U 57%
O/U 4.5O 25%U 75%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Crystal Palace
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 90%

The model assigns 90% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Crystal Palace.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 82%

A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 82%U 18%
1.5O 52%U 48%
2.5O 25%U 75%
3.5O 10%U 90%
Newcastle
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Newcastle.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 48%U 52%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Crystal Palace20%
Newcastle18%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Crystal Palace16%
Newcastle14%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Crystal Palace53%
Newcastle47%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Crystal Palace
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 19%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 24%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Newcastle
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 24%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 19%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.53%
#22-18.51%
#31-27.91%
#42-26.88%
#51-05.52%
Combined Top 539.35%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Crystal Palace + BTTS25%
Newcastle + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Crystal Palace Season

Rank#14
Points7
Matches Left31

Newcastle Season

Rank#11
Points8
Matches Left31

Crystal Palace Last 5

Brighton 5 - 0
Lyon 3 - 2
Nottingham Forest 3 - 1
Leeds 0 - 0
Ipswich 2 - 3

Newcastle Last 5

Aston Villa 0 - 1
Coventry 4 - 1
Hull City 2 - 1
Leeds 4 - 1
Bournemouth 2 - 2

Head-to-Head

Crystal Palace: 2 Draws: 1 Newcastle: 2
2026 Crystal Palace 2 - 1 Newcastle
2026 Newcastle 2 - 0 Crystal Palace
2025 Newcastle 5 - 0 Crystal Palace
2024 Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Newcastle
2024 Crystal Palace 2 - 0 Newcastle

Form Analysis

Crystal Palace
L D W L L
Newcastle
D L W L L

Crystal Palace Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.00
Goals scored6
Goals conceded8
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.67

Newcastle Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.33
Goals scored4
Goals conceded8
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.67

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Crystal Palace
2.25
Newcastle
1.96

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle is a Premier League football match on October 25, 2026 at Selhurst Park. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LDWLL) for Crystal Palace and 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: DLWLL) for Newcastle. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 25 Oct 2026
📍 Selhurst Park

Standings & Context

In the Premier League standings, Crystal Palace is currently #14 with 7 points from 7 matches, while Newcastle is #11 with 8 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Crystal Palace won 2, 1 were drawn and Newcastle won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Crystal Palace at 2.00 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per home match, versus Newcastle at 1.33 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.25 for Crystal Palace and 1.96 for Newcastle.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.