What is the prediction for the football match between Derby and Norwich?
Our prediction for the Derby–Norwich match is: Derby to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Derby to win (43% confidence); over 2.5 goals (60% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)
Derby
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Derby scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.
Norwich
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Norwich scored an average of 1.40 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Derby scored 0.80 and conceded 1.80 per match across 5 covered games; Norwich scored 1.40 and conceded 2.40 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, M. Fuseini contributed 1 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.79/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Jacob Wright contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.87/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list J. Eustace for Derby and P. Clement for Norwich. The latest recorded formations are Derby in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 17, 2026) and Norwich in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 6 recent matches with possession and shot data, Derby averaged 54.8% possession and 14.8 shots per match (4.3 on target), a possession control with high shot volume profile. Across 6 matches, Norwich averaged 50.7% possession and 11.7 shots (4.3 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
This Championship fixture takes place at Pride Park (Derby).
The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for Derby, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.