The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).
BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.
Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.
Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.
The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Derby.
A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.
The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Stoke City.
A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.
These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.
A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.
The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.
The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.
The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.
OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.
Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.
This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.
Derby vs Stoke City is a Football football match on October 17, 2026 at Pride Park Stadium. Recent form is 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (form: LLDDL) for Derby and 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: WLWWW) for Stoke City. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.
In the Football standings, Derby is currently #23 with 6 points from 11 matches, while Stoke City is #6 with 19 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Derby won 2, 1 were drawn and Stoke City won 2 across the last 5 meetings.
The performance profile shows Derby at 0.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per home match, versus Stoke City at 1.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.75 for Derby and 1.51 for Stoke City. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 75% (result: 0 - 1).
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.
