What is the prediction for the football match between Eibar and Almeria?
Our prediction for the Eibar–Almeria match is: Almeria to win or draw.
Other OPWIN picks
Almeria to win (46% confidence); over 2.5 goals (63% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)
Eibar
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Eibar scored an average of 2.00 goals and conceded 1.60 per match.
Almeria
Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Almeria scored an average of 2.40 goals and conceded 0.60 per match.
How the recent evidence fits the pick
Recent results add context to Double chance: Draw or Away (X2): Eibar scored 2.00 and conceded 1.60 per match across 5 covered games; Almeria scored 2.40 and conceded 0.60 across 5.
Players to watch
Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Ander Madariaga contributed 2 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.09/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Miguel de la Fuente contributed 5 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.71/10 across 5 rated appearances.
Recent squad-performance signal
Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Almeria records a mean of 6.93/10 versus 6.57/10 for Eibar.
Tactical matchup and recent shapes
The current records list Beñat San José for Eibar and Rubí for Almeria. The latest recorded formations are Eibar in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 17, 2026) and Almeria in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 7 recent matches with possession and shot data, Eibar averaged 45.0% possession and 12.6 shots per match (6.1 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 7 matches, Almeria averaged 53.7% possession and 13.9 shots (5.4 on target), a a strong average volume of shots on target profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.
Home and away performance
In 3 recent home matches, Eibar recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 0 losses, averaging 2.33 points, 2.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, Almeria recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses in 4 matches, averaging 2.25 points, 1.75 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.
This Segunda División fixture takes place at Estadio Municipal de Ipurua (Eibar).
Recent results show no clear home advantage for Eibar: 2.3 points per home match compared with 2.4 away, with performance varying between matches.
This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.