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El Paso Locomotive
W D L W L
VS
AI Predicts: 0-0
Away

New Mexico United
L L W W L
1X2 El Paso Locomotive 38%
O/U Under 2.5 85%
DC 1X 79%
BTTS No 47%
OpWin AI Probabilities
El Paso Locomotive 38% Draw 28% New Mexico United 34%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between El Paso Locomotive and New Mexico United?

Our prediction for the El Paso Locomotive–New Mexico United match is: under 2.5 goals.

Other OPWIN picks

El Paso Locomotive to win (38% confidence); El Paso Locomotive to win or draw (79% confidence); both teams to score: no (47% confidence)

Match context

The coaching matchup recorded for this fixture is W. Cabrera with El Paso Locomotive against Z. Prince with New Mexico United.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, El Paso Locomotive recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses, averaging 1.33 points, 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per match. Away from home, New Mexico United recorded 0 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses in 3 matches, averaging 0.33 points, 0.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This USL Championship fixture takes place at Southwest University Park.

The recent records do not include at least three completed, scored matches both at home and away for El Paso Locomotive, so a reliable home/away effect cannot be assessed.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.34 — 1.23 Reliability 0%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

138%El Paso Locomotive
X28%Draw
234%New Mexico United
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes53%
No47%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 73%U 27%
O/U 2.5O 47%U 53%
O/U 3.5O 26%U 74%
O/U 4.5O 12%U 88%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

El Paso Locomotive
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for El Paso Locomotive.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 74%U 26%
1.5O 38%U 62%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 5%U 95%
New Mexico United
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 96%

The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for New Mexico United.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 87%

A different goal line with 87% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 71%U 29%
1.5O 35%U 65%
2.5O 13%U 87%
3.5O 4%U 96%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

El Paso Locomotive29%
New Mexico United26%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

El Paso Locomotive21%
New Mexico United18%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

El Paso Locomotive53%
New Mexico United47%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

El Paso Locomotive
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 21%L 62%
-0.5W 38%P 0%L 62%
0W 38%P 28%L 34%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 34%
+1W 67%P 19%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
New Mexico United
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 19%L 67%
-0.5W 34%P 0%L 67%
0W 34%P 28%L 38%
+0.5W 62%P 0%L 38%
+1W 62%P 21%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-113.59%
#21-09.48%
#30-18.70%
#42-18.41%
#50-08.35%
Combined Top 548.53%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

El Paso Locomotive + BTTS18%
New Mexico United + BTTS16%
Draw + BTTS20%

El Paso Locomotive Season

Rank#1
Points50
Matches Left9

New Mexico United Season

Rank#2
Points49
Matches Left9

El Paso Locomotive Last 5

Sacramento Republic 0 - 1
Orange County SC 2 - 1
Lexington 3 - 1
FC Tulsa 1 - 1
Phoenix Rising 1 - 3

New Mexico United Last 5

San Antonio 1 - 0
Monterey Bay 3 - 1
Phoenix Rising 2 - 1
FC Tulsa 1 - 0
Sacramento Republic 2 - 3

Head-to-Head

El Paso Locomotive: 3 Draws: 1 New Mexico United: 1
2026 El Paso Locomotive 0 - 2 New Mexico United
2026 New Mexico United 2 - 2 El Paso Locomotive
2026 New Mexico United 0 - 4 El Paso Locomotive
2026 El Paso Locomotive 4 - 1 New Mexico United
2025 El Paso Locomotive 3 - 0 New Mexico United

Form Analysis

El Paso Locomotive
W D L W L
New Mexico United
L L W W L

El Paso Locomotive Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.00
Goals scored3
Goals conceded3
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

New Mexico United Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.00
Goals scored0
Goals conceded2
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.67

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

El Paso Locomotive
0.82
New Mexico United
0.51

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United is a Football football match on October 24, 2026 at Southwest University Park. Recent form is 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses (form: WDLWL) for El Paso Locomotive and 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LLWWL) for New Mexico United. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 24 Oct 2026
📍 Southwest University Park

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, El Paso Locomotive is currently #1 with 50 points from 29 matches, while New Mexico United is #2 with 49 points from 29. Recent head-to-head history: El Paso Locomotive won 3, 1 were drawn and New Mexico United won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows El Paso Locomotive at 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per home match, versus New Mexico United at 0.00 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.82 for El Paso Locomotive and 0.51 for New Mexico United.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.