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Eldense

W W L L L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-0
Away

Sabadell

W L D L D
1X2 Sabadell 42%
O/U Under 2.5 61%
DC 1X 74%
BTTS Yes 59%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Eldense 34% Draw 24% Sabadell 42%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between Eldense and Sabadell?

Our prediction for the Eldense–Sabadell match is: Eldense to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

Sabadell to win (42% confidence); under 2.5 goals (61% confidence); both teams to score: yes (59% confidence)

Eldense

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Eldense scored an average of 1.00 goals and conceded 1.80 per match.

Sabadell

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Sabadell scored an average of 0.80 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): Eldense scored 1.00 and conceded 1.80 per match across 5 covered games; Sabadell scored 0.80 and conceded 1.00 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Jorge Rastrojo contributed 2 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.91/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, Ton Ripoll contributed 0 goal(s) and 1 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.54/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, Sabadell records a mean of 6.50/10 versus 6.18/10 for Eldense.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current records list José Luis Oltra for Eldense and David Movilla for Sabadell. The latest recorded formations are Eldense in 4-2-3-1 (Nov 9, 2026) and Sabadell in 4-4-2 (Nov 9, 2026). Across 10 recent matches with possession and shot data, Eldense averaged 50.5% possession and 12.5 shots per match (4.1 on target), a a more balanced possession and shot profile profile. Across 10 matches, Sabadell averaged 50.3% possession and 15.8 shots (4.3 on target), a high shot volume profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

Home and away performance

In 5 recent home matches, Eldense recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 losses, averaging 1.40 points, 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per match. Away from home, Sabadell recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses in 5 matches, averaging 0.80 points, 0.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per match. This sample favours the home side’s recent home record relative to the away side’s road record.

This Segunda División fixture takes place at Nuevo Pepico Amat (Alicante).

Recent results show no clear home advantage for Eldense: 1.4 points per home match compared with 1.0 away, with performance varying between matches.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.50 — 1.40 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%Eldense
X26%Draw
235%Sabadell
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes59%
No41%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 79%U 21%
O/U 2.5O 55%U 45%
O/U 3.5O 33%U 67%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Eldense
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Eldense.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 44%U 56%
2.5O 19%U 81%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Sabadell
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Sabadell.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 41%U 59%
2.5O 17%U 83%
3.5O 5%U 95%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Eldense25%
Sabadell22%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Eldense18%
Sabadell16%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Eldense53%
Sabadell47%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Eldense
-1.5W 19%P 0%L 81%
-1W 19%P 20%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 26%L 35%
+0.5W 65%P 0%L 35%
+1W 65%P 18%L 16%
+1.5W 84%P 0%L 16%
Sabadell
-1.5W 16%P 0%L 84%
-1W 16%P 18%L 65%
-0.5W 35%P 0%L 65%
0W 35%P 26%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 20%L 19%
+1.5W 81%P 0%L 19%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.49%
#22-18.63%
#31-28.08%
#41-07.56%
#50-17.03%
Combined Top 543.79%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Eldense + BTTS21%
Sabadell + BTTS19%
Draw + BTTS20%

Eldense Season

Rank#15
Points14
Matches Left25

Sabadell Season

Rank#13
Points18
Matches Left25

Eldense Last 5

Las Palmas 2 - 0
Granada CF 0 - 2
Albacete 2 - 0
Valladolid 2 - 3
Cordoba 2 - 1

Sabadell Last 5

Real Sociedad II 0 - 0
Albacete 2 - 1
Tenerife 1 - 1
Burgos 1 - 0
AD Ceuta FC 1 - 2

Head-to-Head

Eldense: 3 Draws: 1 Sabadell: 0
2026 Eldense 2 - 1 Sabadell
2025 Sabadell 0 - 0 Eldense
2023 Eldense 1 - 0 Sabadell
2022 Sabadell 1 - 3 Eldense

Form Analysis

Eldense
L L L W W
Sabadell
D L D L W

Eldense Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.50
Goals scored9
Goals conceded8
Matches6
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.33

Sabadell Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.57
Goals scored4
Goals conceded7
Matches7
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

Eldense
1.31
Sabadell
0.96

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Eldense vs Sabadell is a Football football match on November 15, 2026 at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat. Recent form is 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses (form: LLLWW) for Eldense and 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: DLDLW) for Sabadell. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 15 Nov 2026
📍 Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Eldense is currently #15 with 14 points from 13 matches, while Sabadell is #13 with 18 points from 13. Recent head-to-head history: Eldense won 3, 1 were drawn and Sabadell won 0 across the last 4 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Eldense at 1.50 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per home match, versus Sabadell at 0.57 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.31 for Eldense and 0.96 for Sabadell.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.