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Empoli

D L L D D
VS
AI Predicts: 0-1
Away

Palermo

W W D W D
1X2 Palermo 41%
O/U Under 3.5 76%
DC X2 78%
BTTS Yes 60%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Empoli 33% Draw 26% Palermo 41%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy75%
Premium Expected goals 1.38 — 1.55 Reliability 0%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

133%Empoli
X26%Draw
241%Palermo
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes60%
No40%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 80%U 20%
O/U 2.5O 56%U 44%
O/U 3.5O 34%U 66%
O/U 4.5O 17%U 83%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Empoli
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 95%

The model assigns 95% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Empoli.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 84%

A different goal line with 84% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 75%U 25%
1.5O 40%U 60%
2.5O 16%U 84%
3.5O 5%U 95%
Palermo
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Palermo.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 79%U 21%
1.5O 46%U 54%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Empoli21%
Palermo25%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Empoli15%
Palermo19%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Empoli45%
Palermo55%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Empoli
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 18%L 67%
-0.5W 33%P 0%L 67%
0W 33%P 26%L 41%
+0.5W 59%P 0%L 41%
+1W 59%P 20%L 21%
+1.5W 79%P 0%L 21%
Palermo
-1.5W 21%P 0%L 79%
-1W 21%P 20%L 59%
-0.5W 41%P 0%L 59%
0W 41%P 26%L 33%
+0.5W 67%P 0%L 33%
+1W 67%P 18%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-112.32%
#21-28.83%
#32-17.86%
#40-17.54%
#51-06.63%
Combined Top 543.18%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Empoli + BTTS18%
Palermo + BTTS22%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

45' 🔄 In: Lapo Deli
45' 🔄 In: Karim Zedadka
47' ⚽
50' ⚽ Edoardo Saporiti
57' ⚽ Joel Pohjanpalo
57' 🟥 Jacopo Seghetti
65' ⚽ Antonio Palumbo
69' ⚽ Dennis Johnsen
71' 🔄 In: Duccio Degli Innocenti
71' 🔄 In: Steven Shpendi
75' 🟥 Filippo·Ranocchia
76' ⚽
79' ⚽ Bogdan Popov
80' 🔄 In: Hernani
80' 🔄 In: Nahuel Estévez
80' 🔄 In: Alessandro Gabrielloni
80' 🔄 In: Luca Mazzitelli
85' 🔄 In: Patryk Peda
88' ⚽ Tommaso Cassandro
89' 🔄 In: Matteo Egan

Lineups

Empoli Home
  • J. Seghetti
  • M. Curto
  • S. Romagnoli
  • C. Cauz
  • J. Ceesay
  • L. Magnino
  • F. Bandinelli
  • E. Biondini
  • N. Corrado
  • B. Popov
  • E. Saporiti
Palermo Away
  • M. Fortin
  • T. Cassandro
  • M. Bani
  • P. Ceccaroni
  • T. Augello
  • J. Segre
  • F. Ranocchia
  • D. Vavassori
  • A. Palumbo
  • D. Johnsen
  • J. Pohjanpalo

Empoli Season

Rank#19
Points9
Matches Left27

Palermo Season

Rank#1
Points27
Matches Left27

Empoli Last 5

Padova 2 - 2
Juve Stabia 2 - 2
Cesena 2 - 1
Vicenza Virtus 0 - 2
Ascoli 1 - 1

Palermo Last 5

Ascoli 1 - 1
Vicenza Virtus 3 - 1
Pisa 3 - 3
Carrarese 2 - 1
Mantova 0 - 2

Head-to-Head

Empoli: 1 Draws: 1 Palermo: 3
2026 Palermo 3 - 2 Empoli
2025 Empoli 1 - 3 Palermo
2018 Empoli 4 - 0 Palermo
2017 Palermo 3 - 3 Empoli
2017 Palermo 2 - 1 Empoli

Form Analysis

Empoli
D L L D D
Palermo
W W D W D

Empoli Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.33
Goals scored4
Goals conceded8
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)2.67

Palermo Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.50
Goals scored10
Goals conceded6
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.50

Match Statistics

6Shots35
2Shots on Target12
1Corners5
41%Possession59%
1Yellow Cards1

Expected Goals (xG)

Empoli
0.93
Palermo
1.55

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Empoli vs Palermo is a Football football match on October 10, 2026 at Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena. Recent form is 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses (form: DLLDD) for Empoli and 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses (form: WWDWD) for Palermo. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena

Standings & Context

In the Football standings, Empoli is currently #19 with 9 points from 11 matches, while Palermo is #1 with 27 points from 11. Recent head-to-head history: Empoli won 1, 1 were drawn and Palermo won 3 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Empoli at 1.33 goals scored and 2.67 conceded per home match, versus Palermo at 2.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 0.93 for Empoli and 1.55 for Palermo. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 75% (result: 2 - 4).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.