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Espanyol

W L L D L
VS
AI Predicts: 1-2
1X2 Atletico Madrid 50%
O/U Over 2.5 60%
DC X2 81%
BTTS Yes 62%
OpWin AI Probabilities
Espanyol 26% Draw 24% Atletico Madrid 50%
Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Free Pick Accuracy50%
Premium Expected goals 1.43 — 1.66 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

132%Espanyol
X25%Draw
242%Atletico Madrid
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes62%
No38%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 82%U 18%
O/U 2.5O 59%U 41%
O/U 3.5O 37%U 63%
O/U 4.5O 20%U 80%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

Espanyol
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 94%

The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Espanyol.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 83%

A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 76%U 24%
1.5O 42%U 58%
2.5O 17%U 83%
3.5O 6%U 94%
Atletico Madrid
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 91%

The model assigns 91% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Atletico Madrid.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 81%

A different goal line with 81% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 81%U 19%
1.5O 49%U 51%
2.5O 23%U 77%
3.5O 9%U 91%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

Espanyol19%
Atletico Madrid24%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

Espanyol14%
Atletico Madrid19%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

Espanyol43%
Atletico Madrid57%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

Espanyol
-1.5W 15%P 0%L 85%
-1W 15%P 17%L 68%
-0.5W 32%P 0%L 68%
0W 32%P 25%L 42%
+0.5W 58%P 0%L 42%
+1W 58%P 20%L 22%
+1.5W 78%P 0%L 22%
Atletico Madrid
-1.5W 22%P 0%L 78%
-1W 22%P 20%L 58%
-0.5W 42%P 0%L 58%
0W 42%P 25%L 32%
+0.5W 68%P 0%L 32%
+1W 68%P 17%L 15%
+1.5W 85%P 0%L 15%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.80%
#21-28.94%
#32-17.70%
#40-16.81%
#52-26.39%
Combined Top 541.64%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

Espanyol + BTTS19%
Atletico Madrid + BTTS24%
Draw + BTTS20%

Match Timeline

22' 🟥 Morten Hjulmand
43' 🟥 Lee Kang-In
45' 🔄 In: Julián Álvarez
45' 🔄 In: Alejandro Grimaldo
55' 🔄 In: Marcos Llorente
62' 🔄 In: Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
64' 🔄 In: Unai Núñez
66' 🟥 Cristian Romero
67' 🔄 In: Rodrigo Mendoza
68' 🟥 Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
73' 🔄 In: Álex Calatrava Torrado
73' 🔄 In: Gabriel Moscardo
79' 🟥 Rodrigo Mendoza
81' 🟥 Roger Hinojo
82' 🔄 In: Javi Puado
82' 🔄 In: Marcos Fernández
87' 🟥 Unai Núñez
89' ⚽ Alejandro Baena Rodríguez

Lineups

Espanyol Home
  • Ángel Fortuño
  • O. El Hilali
  • V. Drkušić
  • C. Riedel
  • L. Cabrera
  • Roger Hinojo
  • Javier Hernandez
  • Edu Expósito
  • Pol Lozano
  • Bryan Zaragoza
  • Roberto Fernández
Atletico Madrid Away
  • J. Oblak
  • Marc Pubill
  • C. Romero
  • D. Hancko
  • Dani Martínez
  • G. Simeone
  • Pablo Barrios
  • M. Hjulmand
  • Lee Kang-In
  • J. David
  • A. Lookman

Espanyol Season

Rank#16
Points8
Matches Left29

Atletico Madrid Season

Rank#2
Points22
Matches Left29

Espanyol Last 5

Atletico Madrid 0 - 1
Malaga 1 - 1
Elche 1 - 3
Rayo Vallecano 2 - 1
Osasuna 0 - 2

Atletico Madrid Last 5

VfB Stuttgart 1 - 1
Espanyol 0 - 1
Manchester United 2 - 0
Alaves 1 - 2
Real Madrid 2 - 1

Head-to-Head

Espanyol: 1 Draws: 3 Atletico Madrid: 1
2026 Atletico Madrid 4 - 2 Espanyol
2025 Espanyol 2 - 1 Atletico Madrid
2025 Espanyol 1 - 1 Atletico Madrid
2024 Atletico Madrid 0 - 0 Espanyol
2023 Espanyol 3 - 3 Atletico Madrid

Form Analysis

Espanyol
L D L L W
Atletico Madrid
W W W W W

Espanyol Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.20
Goals scored6
Goals conceded7
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.40

Atletico Madrid Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.80
Goals scored9
Goals conceded5
Matches5
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00

Match Statistics

10Shots19
2Shots on Target6
4Corners12
29%Possession71%
2Yellow Cards5

Expected Goals (xG)

Espanyol
1.08
Atletico Madrid
2.06

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

Espanyol vs Atletico Madrid is a La Liga football match on October 17, 2026 at RCDE Stadium. Recent form is 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: LDLLW) for Espanyol and 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses (form: WWWWW) for Atletico Madrid. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 Finished
📍 RCDE Stadium

Standings & Context

In the La Liga standings, Espanyol is currently #16 with 8 points from 9 matches, while Atletico Madrid is #2 with 22 points from 9. Recent head-to-head history: Espanyol won 1, 3 were drawn and Atletico Madrid won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows Espanyol at 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per home match, versus Atletico Madrid at 1.80 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.08 for Espanyol and 2.06 for Atletico Madrid. For this finished match, the recorded prediction accuracy is 50% (result: 0 - 1).

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.