1X2 outlook
The model assigns the highest 1X2 probability to Farense at 45%. This is a probability lead, not a certainty.
OpWin AI Probabilities
Farense 45%
Draw 24%
Penafiel 31%
OPWIN Market Insights
Over / Under goals
The current goals projection leans towards Over 2.5 goals (model confidence: 67%). This remains an estimate.
Both Teams to Score
The Both Teams to Score market leans to Yes in the current model pick (confidence: 64%).
Expected Goals (xG)
Expected Goals (xG) project Farense at 2.5 and Penafiel at 1.1, for 3.5 combined. This points to a higher-scoring profile, not a guaranteed goal total.
These explanations describe the available model outputs. They are estimates, not guarantees or claims of betting value.
1X2 — Match Result
The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).
145%Farense
X24%Draw
231%Penafiel
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.
Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals
Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.
O/U 1.5O 84%U 16%
O/U 2.5O 63%U 37%
O/U 3.5O 41%U 60%
O/U 4.5O 23%U 77%
Team Goals: Home / Away
Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.
Farense
More model-supported option
Under 3.5 goals · 89%
The model assigns 89% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Farense.
Possible alternative
Over 0.5 goals · 83%
A different goal line with 83% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.
0.5O 83%U 17%
1.5O 53%U 47%
2.5O 27%U 73%
3.5O 11%U 89%
Penafiel
More model-supported option
Under 3.5 goals · 94%
The model assigns 94% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Penafiel.
Possible alternative
Under 2.5 goals · 82%
A different goal line with 82% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.
0.5O 77%U 23%
1.5O 42%U 58%
2.5O 18%U 82%
3.5O 6%U 94%
These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.
Clean Sheet
A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.
Farense23%
Penafiel17%
Win to Nil
The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.
Farense19%
Penafiel12%
Draw No Bet
The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.
Farense60%
Penafiel40%
Asian Handicap
The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.
Farense
-1.5W 25%P 0%L 75%
-1W 25%P 20%L 55%
-0.5W 45%P 0%L 55%
0W 45%P 24%L 31%
+0.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
+1W 69%P 16%L 14%
+1.5W 86%P 0%L 14%
Penafiel
-1.5W 14%P 0%L 86%
-1W 14%P 16%L 69%
-0.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
0W 31%P 24%L 45%
+0.5W 55%P 0%L 45%
+1W 55%P 20%L 25%
+1.5W 75%P 0%L 25%
Dutching — Exact Score
OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.
#11-110.99%
#22-19.09%
#31-27.33%
#42-26.57%
#51-06.41%
Combined Top 540.39%
How Dutching works with $100
Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.
Winner + BTTS
This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.
Farense + BTTS26%
Penafiel + BTTS18%
Draw + BTTS20%
Farense Season
Rank#3
Points14
Matches Left31
Penafiel Season
Rank#4
Points13
Matches Left31
Farense Last 5
Feirense
2 - 1
Chaves
4 - 0
Penafiel Last 5
AVS
1 - 2
Head-to-Head
Farense: 3
Draws: 2
Penafiel: 0
2026
Penafiel
1 - 1
Farense
2025
Farense
0 - 0
Penafiel
2023
Farense
2 - 1
Penafiel
2022
Penafiel
0 - 2
Farense
2022
Penafiel
1 - 3
Farense
Form Analysis
Farense
W
W
D
L
D
Penafiel
L
W
W
W
W
Farense Performance
⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.25
Goals scored9
Goals conceded3
Matches4
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)0.75
Penafiel Performance
⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.33
Goals scored7
Goals conceded3
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.00
Match Statistics
Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.
Expected Goals (xG)
Farense
2.45
Penafiel
1.07
Live Commentary & Analysis
Match Preview
Farense vs Penafiel is a Football football match on October 24, 2026 at Estádio de São Lúis. Recent form is 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses (form: WWDLD) for Farense and 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 losses (form: LWWWW) for Penafiel. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.
Standings & Context
In the Football standings, Farense is currently #3 with 14 points from 7 matches, while Penafiel is #4 with 13 points from 7. Recent head-to-head history: Farense won 3, 2 were drawn and Penafiel won 0 across the last 5 meetings.
Performance Analysis
The performance profile shows Farense at 2.25 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per home match, versus Penafiel at 2.33 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 2.45 for Farense and 1.07 for Penafiel.
Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.