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FC Augsburg
W D L D L
VS
AI Predicts: 2-1
Away

SC Freiburg
W W D W L
1X2 FC Augsburg 41%
O/U Over 2.5 58%
DC 1X 69%
BTTS Yes 63%
OpWin AI Probabilities
FC Augsburg 41% Draw 24% SC Freiburg 35%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between FC Augsburg and SC Freiburg?

Our prediction for the FC Augsburg–SC Freiburg match is: FC Augsburg to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

FC Augsburg to win (41% confidence); over 2.5 goals (58% confidence); both teams to score: yes (63% confidence)

FC Augsburg

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, FC Augsburg scored an average of 2.60 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.

SC Freiburg

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, SC Freiburg scored an average of 2.20 goals and conceded 1.00 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): FC Augsburg scored 2.60 and conceded 2.40 per match across 5 covered games; SC Freiburg scored 2.20 and conceded 1.00 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, F. Rieder contributed 2 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.17/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 5 recent recorded appearances, D. Scherhant contributed 2 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.45/10 across 5 rated appearances.

Recent squad-performance signal

Across recent rated squad performances used by Team Intelligence, SC Freiburg records a mean of 6.59/10 versus 6.39/10 for FC Augsburg.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists J. Thorup as coach of FC Augsburg. The latest recorded formations are FC Augsburg in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 17, 2026) and SC Freiburg in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 18, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, FC Augsburg averaged 41.6% possession and 14.6 shots per match (5.8 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 5 matches, SC Freiburg averaged 52.6% possession and 15.6 shots (5.4 on target), a high shot volume profile. The clearest contrast in this sample is possession share.

Home and away performance

In 3 recent home matches, FC Augsburg recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, averaging 1.67 points, 2.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. Away from home, SC Freiburg recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses in 3 matches, averaging 1.33 points, 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. These split records do not show a clear points-per-match advantage for either side.

This Bundesliga fixture takes place at WWK Arena (Augsburg).

Recent results show that FC Augsburg have a stronger record at home than away: 1 wins in 3 home matches, averaging 1.7 points per home match compared with 1.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 1.60 — 1.53 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

139%FC Augsburg
X25%Draw
236%SC Freiburg
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes63%
No37%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 83%U 17%
O/U 2.5O 60%U 40%
O/U 3.5O 38%U 62%
O/U 4.5O 21%U 79%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

FC Augsburg
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 92%

The model assigns 92% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for FC Augsburg.

Possible alternative Over 0.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 80%U 20%
1.5O 47%U 53%
2.5O 22%U 78%
3.5O 8%U 92%
SC Freiburg
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 93%

The model assigns 93% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for SC Freiburg.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 80%

A different goal line with 80% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 78%U 22%
1.5O 45%U 55%
2.5O 20%U 80%
3.5O 7%U 93%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

FC Augsburg22%
SC Freiburg20%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

FC Augsburg17%
SC Freiburg15%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

FC Augsburg52%
SC Freiburg48%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

FC Augsburg
-1.5W 20%P 0%L 80%
-1W 20%P 19%L 61%
-0.5W 39%P 0%L 61%
0W 39%P 25%L 36%
+0.5W 64%P 0%L 36%
+1W 64%P 18%L 18%
+1.5W 82%P 0%L 18%
SC Freiburg
-1.5W 18%P 0%L 82%
-1W 18%P 18%L 64%
-0.5W 36%P 0%L 64%
0W 36%P 25%L 39%
+0.5W 61%P 0%L 39%
+1W 61%P 19%L 20%
+1.5W 80%P 0%L 20%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-111.54%
#22-18.53%
#31-28.17%
#42-26.54%
#51-06.34%
Combined Top 541.12%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

FC Augsburg + BTTS22%
SC Freiburg + BTTS21%
Draw + BTTS20%

FC Augsburg Season

Rank#10
Points8
Matches Left28

SC Freiburg Season

Rank#3
Points13
Matches Left28

FC Augsburg Last 5

SV Elversberg 4 - 3
Bayern München 2 - 2
Werder Bremen 3 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 4

SC Freiburg Last 5

Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 1
FC Schalke 04 2 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt 2 - 2
Borussia Mönchengladbach 5 - 0
SC Paderborn 07 0 - 1

Head-to-Head

FC Augsburg: 2 Draws: 2 SC Freiburg: 1
2026 FC Augsburg 2 - 2 SC Freiburg
2025 SC Freiburg 1 - 3 FC Augsburg
2025 FC Augsburg 0 - 0 SC Freiburg
2024 SC Freiburg 3 - 1 FC Augsburg
2024 FC Augsburg 2 - 1 SC Freiburg

Form Analysis

FC Augsburg
L D L D W
SC Freiburg
L W D W W

FC Augsburg Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.33
Goals scored7
Goals conceded4
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.33

SC Freiburg Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
1.33
Goals scored4
Goals conceded4
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.33

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Augsburg
1.67
SC Freiburg
1.36

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg is a Bundesliga football match on October 31, 2026 at WWK Arena. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LDLDW) for FC Augsburg and 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses (form: LWDWW) for SC Freiburg. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 31 Oct 2026
📍 WWK Arena

Standings & Context

In the Bundesliga standings, FC Augsburg is currently #10 with 8 points from 6 matches, while SC Freiburg is #3 with 13 points from 6. Recent head-to-head history: FC Augsburg won 2, 2 were drawn and SC Freiburg won 1 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows FC Augsburg at 2.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per home match, versus SC Freiburg at 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 1.67 for FC Augsburg and 1.36 for SC Freiburg.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.