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FC Augsburg
W D L D L
VS
AI Predicts: 3-0
Away

Union Berlin
L L L W D
1X2 FC Augsburg 53%
O/U Over 2.5 72%
DC 1X 96%
BTTS Yes 64%
OpWin AI Probabilities
FC Augsburg 53% Draw 25% Union Berlin 22%
OPWIN EXPERT READ · SCV1.1

What is the prediction for the football match between FC Augsburg and Union Berlin?

Our prediction for the FC Augsburg–Union Berlin match is: FC Augsburg to win or draw.

Other OPWIN picks

FC Augsburg to win (53% confidence); over 2.5 goals (72% confidence); both teams to score: yes (64% confidence)

FC Augsburg

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, FC Augsburg scored an average of 2.60 goals and conceded 2.40 per match.

Union Berlin

Across the 5 most recent finished matches with available data, Union Berlin scored an average of 0.40 goals and conceded 2.80 per match.

How the recent evidence fits the pick

Recent results add context to Double chance: Home or Draw (1X): FC Augsburg scored 2.60 and conceded 2.40 per match across 5 covered games; Union Berlin scored 0.40 and conceded 2.80 across 5.

Players to watch

Across 5 recent recorded appearances, F. Rieder contributed 2 goal(s) and 2 assist(s). Available ratings average 7.17/10 across 5 rated appearances. Across 4 recent recorded appearances, Livan Burcu contributed 1 goal(s) and 0 assist(s). Available ratings average 6.71/10 across 4 rated appearances.

Tactical matchup and recent shapes

The current record lists J. Thorup as coach of FC Augsburg. The latest recorded formations are FC Augsburg in 3-4-2-1 (Oct 17, 2026) and Union Berlin in 4-2-3-1 (Oct 17, 2026). Across 5 recent matches with possession and shot data, FC Augsburg averaged 41.6% possession and 14.6 shots per match (5.8 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. Across 5 matches, Union Berlin averaged 43.0% possession and 11.8 shots (3.4 on target), a a lower-possession profile that still produces shots profile. The recorded numbers do not show a pronounced gap in possession or shot volume.

This Bundesliga fixture takes place at WWK Arena (Augsburg).

Recent results show that FC Augsburg have a stronger record at home than away: 1 wins in 3 home matches, averaging 1.7 points per home match compared with 1.0 away. This points to a positive home-performance trend.

This OPWIN expert read combines the existing model pick with recorded football evidence. Match outcomes remain uncertain.

Premium Match Markets Premium markets based on the latest match assessment.
Premium Expected goals 2.02 — 1.32 Reliability 100%
1X2 — Match Result

The 1X2 market estimates a home win (1), draw (X) or away win (2).

153%FC Augsburg
X23%Draw
224%Union Berlin
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

BTTS Yes means both teams score at least once; No means at least one team fails to score.

Yes64%
No36%
Over / Under Goals

Each line estimates whether the match total will finish above or below the stated goals threshold.

O/U 1.5O 85%U 15%
O/U 2.5O 65%U 35%
O/U 3.5O 43%U 57%
O/U 4.5O 24%U 76%
Team Goals: Home / Away

Team-goals markets estimate each side’s scoring total separately, regardless of who wins the match.

FC Augsburg
More model-supported option Over 0.5 goals · 87%

The model assigns 87% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for FC Augsburg.

Possible alternative Under 3.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 87%U 13%
1.5O 60%U 40%
2.5O 33%U 67%
3.5O 15%U 85%
Union Berlin
More model-supported option Under 3.5 goals · 96%

The model assigns 96% to this outcome, the strongest probability among the listed goal lines for Union Berlin.

Possible alternative Under 2.5 goals · 85%

A different goal line with 85% model probability; it is less supported than the leading option and carries more uncertainty.

0.5O 73%U 27%
1.5O 38%U 62%
2.5O 15%U 85%
3.5O 4%U 96%

These probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees or proof of betting value. Available odds and match context still matter.

Clean Sheet

A clean sheet means the selected team concedes zero goals, whether it wins or draws.

FC Augsburg27%
Union Berlin13%
Win to Nil

The selected team must win and concede no goals. This is narrower than a clean sheet because a draw does not qualify.

FC Augsburg23%
Union Berlin9%
Draw No Bet

The displayed shares compare home and away wins only; if the match is drawn, a standard Draw No Bet stake is returned.

FC Augsburg69%
Union Berlin31%
Asian Handicap

The handicap adjusts the final goal difference by the selected line. W/P/L show estimated win, push/refund and loss outcomes after that adjustment.

FC Augsburg
-1.5W 31%P 0%L 69%
-1W 31%P 21%L 47%
-0.5W 53%P 0%L 47%
0W 53%P 23%L 24%
+0.5W 76%P 0%L 24%
+1W 76%P 14%L 10%
+1.5W 90%P 0%L 10%
Union Berlin
-1.5W 10%P 0%L 90%
-1W 10%P 14%L 76%
-0.5W 24%P 0%L 76%
0W 24%P 23%L 53%
+0.5W 47%P 0%L 53%
+1W 47%P 21%L 31%
+1.5W 69%P 0%L 31%
Dutching — Exact Score

OPWIN ranks the five most likely exact-score scenarios. Each percentage is the modelled probability of that score; Combined Top 5 adds those five probabilities.

#11-110.20%
#22-19.53%
#32-07.23%
#41-06.64%
#53-16.40%
Combined Top 540.00%
How Dutching works with $100

Dutching splits one total stake across mutually exclusive exact-score outcomes; each stake is set inversely to its decimal odds to target a similar gross payout if one selected score lands. Illustration only: with $100 and hypothetical decimal odds of 8.00 (1–1), 10.00 (1–2), 11.00 (2–1), 13.00 (2–2) and 14.00 (0–1), the stakes would be about $26.92, $21.54, $19.58, $16.57 and $15.39. If one of these scores lands, the gross return would be about $215.40 before fees or other conditions. If the final score is outside the five, the full $100 is lost. These are example odds, not live prices: OPWIN percentages are model probabilities, not bookmaker odds or stake recommendations.

Winner + BTTS

This combination requires the selected match result and both teams to score at least once.

FC Augsburg + BTTS30%
Union Berlin + BTTS15%
Draw + BTTS19%

FC Augsburg Season

Rank#10
Points8
Matches Left28

Union Berlin Season

Rank#17
Points5
Matches Left28

FC Augsburg Last 5

SV Elversberg 4 - 3
Bayern München 2 - 2
Werder Bremen 3 - 2
Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 4

Union Berlin Last 5

Borussia Dortmund 0 - 0
SV Elversberg 1 - 0
Bayern München 7 - 0
FC Schalke 04 1 - 3
Bayer Leverkusen 4 - 0

Head-to-Head

FC Augsburg: 2 Draws: 1 Union Berlin: 2
2026 Union Berlin 4 - 0 FC Augsburg
2026 FC Augsburg 1 - 1 Union Berlin
2025 FC Augsburg 1 - 2 Union Berlin
2025 Union Berlin 0 - 2 FC Augsburg
2024 FC Augsburg 2 - 0 Union Berlin

Form Analysis

FC Augsburg
L D L D W
Union Berlin
D W L L L

FC Augsburg Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
2.33
Goals scored7
Goals conceded4
Matches3
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)1.33

Union Berlin Performance

⚔️ Efficiency (Goals / Match)
0.00
Goals scored0
Goals conceded11
Matches2
🛡️ Defense (Conceded / Match)5.50

Match Statistics

Detailed match statistics will appear after the match.

Expected Goals (xG)

FC Augsburg
3.40
Union Berlin
0.69

Live Commentary & Analysis

Match Preview

FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin is a Bundesliga football match on October 24, 2026 at WWK Arena. Recent form is 1 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses (form: LDLDW) for FC Augsburg and 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses (form: DWLLL) for Union Berlin. This match preview combines team statistics, recent form, head-to-head context and available prediction insights to explain the fixture.

📅 24 Oct 2026
📍 WWK Arena

Standings & Context

In the Bundesliga standings, FC Augsburg is currently #10 with 8 points from 6 matches, while Union Berlin is #17 with 5 points from 6. Recent head-to-head history: FC Augsburg won 2, 1 were drawn and Union Berlin won 2 across the last 5 meetings.

Performance Analysis

The performance profile shows FC Augsburg at 2.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per home match, versus Union Berlin at 0.00 goals scored and 5.50 conceded per away match. Expected goals (xG) are estimated at 3.40 for FC Augsburg and 0.69 for Union Berlin.

Disclaimer: This analysis is generated based on statistics. Please gamble responsibly.